Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Lincoln City v Burnley

2026-10-24 14:00 UTC — Championship

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Lincoln City (Casa)

Previsione 32.09%3.12quota equa
EV -0.507%
Vantaggio -0.164%
Kelly -0.242%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.53%32.13%32.14%34.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.832.853.1038.02%35.35%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Burnley (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.77%2.45quota equa
EV +3.96%
Vantaggio +1.55%
Kelly +2.55%
Crescita +0.101%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.82%40.62%40.84%43.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.962.332.352.5551.02%42.90%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.14%3.68quota equa
EV -2.30%
Vantaggio -0.640%
Kelly -0.886%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.21%27.25%27.02%28.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.373.383.6031.75%29.66%29.63%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Lincoln City (Casa): 32.09%; Burnley (Trasferta): 40.77%; Pareggio: 27.14%. Per Burnley (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.45. 3 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 2.55, con un valore atteso positivo del +3.96%.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.11%EV -8.53%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.12%EV +3.96%E +1.55%K +2.55%G +0.101%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-17 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.11%EV -8.53%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.12%EV +3.96%E +1.55%K +2.55%G +0.101%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-17 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.11%EV -8.53%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.12%EV +3.96%E +1.55%K +2.55%G +0.101%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-17 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -0.118%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 17:10
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -0.118%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:10
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -0.118%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -0.118%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:10
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -0.118%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:08
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -0.118%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:08
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -0.118%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 16:15
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -13.35%E -4.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -0.934%E -0.384%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 16:55
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.35%E -4.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 17:10
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -14.95%E -5.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -14.95%E -5.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -14.95%E -5.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 17:10
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -14.95%E -5.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.32%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -4.20%E -1.79%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.00%EV -15.59%E -5.93%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -4.20%E -1.79%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.16%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 17:10
Pinnacle🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.17%EV -5.00%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.23%EV -5.83%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -2.85%E -0.795%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 17:10
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.35%EV -7.25%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.47%EV -5.83%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.18%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 16:10
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.32%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.30%E -0.640%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.32%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 18:45
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.57%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.30%E -0.640%K -0.886%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -3.66%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 18:45
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 15:00
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.57%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -7.57%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.64%EV -6.64%E -2.90%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 16:05
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.72%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.27%E -3.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 15:20
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.27%E -3.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.27%E -3.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -0.507%E -0.164%K -0.242%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -10.31%E -4.69%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 16:05
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -3.72%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.31%E -4.69%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 16:10
picklebet_au🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.72%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.31%E -4.69%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -12.35%E -5.74%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 16:05
ReBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 30.69%EV -6.61%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.74%EV -12.76%E -5.96%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 27.57%EV -12.07%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 16:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.43%EV -7.57%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.34%EV -15.61%E -7.54%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.22%EV -12.62%E -3.92%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-17 16:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.18%EV -13.35%E -4.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.09%EV -18.46%E -9.23%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.73%EV -14.52%E -4.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%18.8%2026-10-17 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.53%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 43.70%EV -20.09%E -10.25%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -13.16%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-17 16:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.0%2026-10-17 16:55
Matchbook◎2.86I 34.97%NM 32.20%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%8.6%2026-10-17 16:05
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 30.56%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.51%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%13.6%2026-10-17 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 46.81%1.35I 74.07%NM 38.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 14.36%90.8%2026-10-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 46.53%1.33I 75.19%NM 39.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 14.28%91.9%2026-10-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 35.11%1.35I 74.07%NM 29.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 35.75%154.3%2026-10-17 20:00
Arbitraggio (12 combinazioni) +0.75%Unibet (UK) 3.10 (32.5%) / LeoVegas (SE) 2.55 (39.5%) / betfred_uk 3.60 (28.0%)Mostra tutte le 12 combinazioni
Lincoln City (Casa)Burnley (Trasferta)PareggioMargine
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.754%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.5%)betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.754%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.754%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.5%)betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.754%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.55 (39.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.754%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.55 (39.5%)betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.754%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.4%)Pinnacle🎯 3.58 (28.1%)+0.597%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.4%)Pinnacle🎯 3.58 (28.1%)+0.597%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.55 (39.4%)Pinnacle🎯 3.58 (28.1%)+0.597%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.4%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.4%)Bet Right🎯 3.55 (28.3%)+0.359%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.4%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.4%)Bet Right🎯 3.55 (28.3%)+0.359%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.4%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.55 (39.4%)Bet Right🎯 3.55 (28.3%)+0.359%