Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lincoln City v Burnley

2026-10-24 14:00 UTC — Championship

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Lincoln City (Local)

Prévision 32.09%3.12cote équitable
EV -0.507%
Avantage -0.164%
Kelly -0.242%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.53%32.13%32.14%34.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.832.853.1038.02%35.35%35.09%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Burnley (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.77%2.45cote équitable
EV +3.96%
Avantage +1.55%
Kelly +2.55%
Croissance +0.101%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.82%40.62%40.84%43.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.962.332.352.5551.02%42.90%42.55%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.14%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -0.640%
Kelly -0.886%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.21%27.25%27.02%28.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.373.383.6031.75%29.66%29.63%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Lincoln City (Local) : 32.09% ; Burnley (Visiteur) : 40.77% ; Match nul : 27.14%. Pour Burnley (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.45. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.55, pour une espérance positive de +3.96%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.11%EV -8.53%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.12%EV +3.96%E +1.55%K +2.55%G +0.101%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-17 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.11%EV -8.53%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.12%EV +3.96%E +1.55%K +2.55%G +0.101%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-17 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.11%EV -8.53%E -2.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.12%EV +3.96%E +1.55%K +2.55%G +0.101%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.77%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-17 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -0.118%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 17:10
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -0.118%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:10
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -0.118%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -0.118%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:10
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -0.118%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:08
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -0.118%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.09%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 17:08
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -0.118%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 16:15
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -13.35%E -4.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -0.934%E -0.384%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 16:55
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -11.74%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.35%E -4.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 17:10
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -14.95%E -5.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -14.95%E -5.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -14.95%E -5.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 17:10
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -14.95%E -5.64%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -2.16%E -0.899%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.80%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.32%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -4.20%E -1.79%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.00%EV -15.59%E -5.93%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -4.20%E -1.79%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.16%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 17:10
Pinnacle🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.17%EV -5.00%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.23%EV -5.83%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.60%EV -2.85%E -0.795%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 17:10
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.35%EV -7.25%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.47%EV -5.83%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.18%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 16:10
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.32%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.30%E -0.640%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.32%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 18:45
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -7.57%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.30%E -0.640%K -0.886%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 18:45
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -3.66%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 18:45
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 15:00
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.57%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.23%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.31%EV -7.57%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.64%EV -6.64%E -2.90%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 16:05
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.72%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -8.27%E -3.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.02%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 15:20
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.27%E -3.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.27%E -3.68%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -0.507%E -0.164%K -0.242%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -10.31%E -4.69%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 16:05
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -3.72%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.31%E -4.69%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 16:10
picklebet_au🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.72%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.31%E -4.69%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -12.35%E -5.74%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.73%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 16:05
ReBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 30.69%EV -6.61%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.74%EV -12.76%E -5.96%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 27.57%EV -12.07%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 16:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.43%EV -7.57%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.34%EV -15.61%E -7.54%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.22%EV -12.62%E -3.92%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-17 16:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.18%EV -13.35%E -4.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.09%EV -18.46%E -9.23%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.73%EV -14.52%E -4.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%18.8%2026-10-17 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.53%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 43.70%EV -20.09%E -10.25%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -13.16%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-17 16:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.0%2026-10-17 16:55
Matchbook◎2.86I 34.97%NM 32.20%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%8.6%2026-10-17 16:05
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 30.56%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.51%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%13.6%2026-10-17 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 46.81%1.35I 74.07%NM 38.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 14.36%90.8%2026-10-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 46.53%1.33I 75.19%NM 39.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 14.28%91.9%2026-10-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 35.11%1.35I 74.07%NM 29.13%1.10I 90.91%NM 35.75%154.3%2026-10-17 20:00
Arbitrage (12 combinaisons) +0.75%Unibet (UK) 3.10 (32.5%) / LeoVegas (SE) 2.55 (39.5%) / betfred_uk 3.60 (28.0%)Afficher les 12 combinaisons
Lincoln City (Local)Burnley (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.754%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.5%)betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.754%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.754%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.5%)betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.754%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.55 (39.5%)Coolbet🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.754%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.55 (39.5%)betfred_uk🎯 3.60 (28.0%)+0.754%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.4%)Pinnacle🎯 3.58 (28.1%)+0.597%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.4%)Pinnacle🎯 3.58 (28.1%)+0.597%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.55 (39.4%)Pinnacle🎯 3.58 (28.1%)+0.597%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.4%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.4%)Bet Right🎯 3.55 (28.3%)+0.359%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.4%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.4%)Bet Right🎯 3.55 (28.3%)+0.359%
Unibet (UK)🎯 3.10 (32.4%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.55 (39.4%)Bet Right🎯 3.55 (28.3%)+0.359%