Language:English
Hull City v Southampton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hull City (Local)
Prediction 20.92%4.78fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -0.822%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.74%20.94%20.92%21.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.404.504.6025.97%22.74%22.22%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Southampton (Visit)
Prediction 50.60%1.98fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -5.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.56%50.51%50.60%51.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.831.8858.82%55.17%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.49%3.51fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -0.924%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%28.56%28.49%29.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.253.273.4033.90%30.73%30.53%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hull City (Local): 20.92%; Southampton (Visit): 50.60%; Draw: 28.49%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -3.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.78%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%EV -4.88%E -2.60%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.14%E -0.924%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.78%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%EV -4.88%E -2.60%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.14%E -0.924%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.78%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%EV -4.88%E -2.60%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.14%E -0.924%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -6.90%E -3.75%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 13:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 13:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 13:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 13:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.40%E -3.46%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 08:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.99%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.99%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -6.92%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-13 07:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.97%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%EV -5.39%E -2.88%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 20:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -7.97%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -8.42%E -4.65%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.74%EV -9.43%E -5.27%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-13 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -10.06%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.90%EV -10.45%E -5.90%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -10.06%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.90%EV -10.45%E -5.90%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.38%EV -11.96%E -6.88%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -13.11%E -4.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-13 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.79%EV -13.20%E -3.18%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 50.45%EV -13.48%E -7.88%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.76%EV -14.54%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-13 08:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.79%EV -16.33%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.09%EV -11.96%E -6.88%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-13 08:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 21.88%EV -19.47%E -5.06%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 49.56%EV -13.99%E -8.23%K -19.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.56%EV -15.96%E -5.41%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-05-13 08:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.