La scuola delle quote

Hull City v Southampton

Inizio: 2026-05-23 00:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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24 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hull City (Casa)

Previsione 20.92%4.78quota equa
EV -3.78%
Vantaggio -0.822%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.74%20.94%20.92%21.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.854.404.504.6025.97%22.74%22.22%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Southampton (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.60%1.98quota equa
EV -4.88%
Vantaggio -2.60%
Kelly -5.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.56%50.51%50.60%51.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.811.831.8858.82%55.17%54.64%53.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.49%3.51quota equa
EV -3.14%
Vantaggio -0.924%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.97%28.56%28.49%29.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.253.273.4033.90%30.73%30.53%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.78%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%EV -4.88%E -2.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.14%E -0.924%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 13:25
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.78%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%EV -4.88%E -2.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.14%E -0.924%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 13:25
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.78%E -0.822%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%EV -4.88%E -2.60%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.14%E -0.924%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 13:25
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -6.90%E -3.75%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 13:25
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 13:24
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 13:24
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 13:25
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 13:24
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 13:24
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.57%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 13:25
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.40%E -3.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 08:54
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.99%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 13:25
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.99%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 13:25
Bovada4.45I 22.47%NM 20.74%EV -6.92%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 07:44
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.97%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%EV -5.39%E -2.88%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 20:04
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -7.97%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -8.42%E -4.65%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-14 13:25
PMU (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -9.01%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.74%EV -9.43%E -5.27%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-14 13:25
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.77%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 20:00
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -10.06%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.90%EV -10.45%E -5.90%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-14 13:25
Virgin Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -10.06%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.90%EV -10.45%E -5.90%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -8.84%E -2.76%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-14 13:25
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.38%EV -11.96%E -6.88%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -13.11%E -4.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-13 08:55
Betclic (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 20.79%EV -13.20%E -3.18%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 50.45%EV -13.48%E -7.88%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.76%EV -14.54%E -4.85%K -7.27%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-13 08:54
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.79%EV -16.33%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.09%EV -11.96%E -6.88%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -11.69%E -3.77%K -5.57%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-13 08:55
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 21.88%EV -19.47%E -5.06%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 49.56%EV -13.99%E -8.23%K -19.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.56%EV -15.96%E -5.41%K -8.19%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-13 08:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.