Language:English
Hull City v Millwall
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hull City (Local)
Prediction 31.61%3.16fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.653%
Kelly -0.963%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.00%31.59%31.63%32.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.952.953.1038.46%33.86%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Millwall (Visit)
Prediction 39.98%2.50fair odd
EV +0.759%
Edge +0.301%
Kelly +0.499%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.17%39.94%39.93%41.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.332.352.5247.62%42.87%42.55%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.41%3.52fair odd
EV -0.562%
Edge -0.161%
Kelly -0.225%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.82%28.47%28.43%30.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.283.303.5034.72%30.47%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hull City (Local): 31.61%; Millwall (Visit): 39.98%; Draw: 28.41%. For Millwall (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.759%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%EV -7.08%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.49%EV +0.759%E +0.301%K +0.499%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 12:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.50%EV -2.97%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.80%EV -2.84%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.70%EV -4.26%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.39%EV -3.64%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.42%EV -5.11%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.39%EV -3.64%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.42%EV -5.11%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -2.66%E -0.862%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -2.66%E -0.862%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 11:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 12:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -4.84%E -2.03%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -4.84%E -2.03%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 12:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -4.84%E -2.03%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -4.84%E -2.03%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -8.98%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -4.84%E -2.03%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.77%EV -6.13%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.81%EV -5.24%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.42%EV -5.68%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 12:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.24%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.24%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.24%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 11:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.74%EV -2.02%E -0.653%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.38%EV -5.64%E -2.39%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.95%EV -2.02%E -0.653%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.83%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 12:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 12:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 11:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 11:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.51%EV -7.40%E -2.52%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.63%EV -6.84%E -2.93%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 12:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.51%EV -7.40%E -2.52%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.63%EV -6.84%E -2.93%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 12:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 12:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 12:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -0.562%E -0.161%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 12:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -8.98%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.50%E -4.11%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -18.18%E -6.31%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-07 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -8.84%E -3.88%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.98%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 11:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 11:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.59%EV -6.13%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.74%EV -10.84%E -4.86%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.66%EV -9.94%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 12:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -12.04%E -5.47%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 11:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -14.03%E -6.53%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -14.03%E -6.53%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -10.51%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-07 12:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.21%EV -17.83%E -6.86%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.88%EV -16.03%E -7.64%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -14.77%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.14% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.18% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.14% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.18% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.83% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 12:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 12:25 |