La escuela de los momios

Hull City v Millwall

Inicio: 2026-03-07 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hull City (Local)

Predicción 31.61%3.16momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.653%
Kelly -0.963%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.00%31.59%31.63%32.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.952.953.1038.46%33.86%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Millwall (Visitante)

Predicción 39.98%2.50momio equitativo
EV +0.759%
Ventaja +0.301%
Kelly +0.499%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.17%39.94%39.93%41.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.332.352.5247.62%42.87%42.55%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.41%3.52momio equitativo
EV -0.562%
Ventaja -0.161%
Kelly -0.225%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.82%28.47%28.43%30.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.303.5034.72%30.47%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%EV -7.08%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.49%EV +0.759%E +0.301%K +0.499%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 12:24
Pinnacle3.07I 32.57%NM 31.50%EV -2.97%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.80%EV -2.84%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.70%EV -4.26%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 12:20
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.39%EV -3.64%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.42%EV -5.11%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 12:09
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.39%EV -3.64%E -1.51%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.42%EV -5.11%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 12:10
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -2.66%E -0.862%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 12:00
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -2.66%E -0.862%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.24%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 12:00
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 12:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 11:30
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 11:30
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 12:25
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 12:10
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 12:25
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 12:25
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.93%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 12:24
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.80%EV -4.84%E -2.03%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 11:29
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -4.84%E -2.03%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 12:18
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -4.84%E -2.03%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 12:20
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -4.84%E -2.03%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 12:25
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -8.98%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -4.84%E -2.03%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 12:10
GTbets2.97I 33.67%NM 31.77%EV -6.13%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.81%EV -5.24%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.42%EV -5.68%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 12:24
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.24%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 11:59
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.24%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -5.24%E -2.21%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 11:29
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.74%EV -2.02%E -0.653%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.38%EV -5.64%E -2.39%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.95%EV -2.02%E -0.653%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.83%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 12:24
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 11:30
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.40%E -1.00%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 12:24
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 11:59
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 11:59
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.04%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 12:10
Bovada2.93I 34.13%NM 31.51%EV -7.40%E -2.52%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.63%EV -6.84%E -2.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 12:20
BetUS2.93I 34.13%NM 31.51%EV -7.40%E -2.52%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.63%EV -6.84%E -2.93%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 12:19
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 12:24
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 12:25
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 12:24
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 12:24
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 12:25
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -0.562%E -0.161%K -0.225%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 12:24
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 12:00
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -8.98%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:10
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.50%E -4.11%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -8.04%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -18.18%E -6.31%K -9.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 12:10
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -3.60%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -8.84%E -3.88%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 12:25
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:25
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:24
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 12:25
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.98%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:29
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.34%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -10.04%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 11:30
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.59%EV -6.13%E -2.06%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.74%EV -10.84%E -4.86%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.66%EV -9.94%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 12:06
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -9.92%E -3.48%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -12.04%E -5.47%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 11:30
Parions Sport (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -5.18%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -14.03%E -6.53%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.09%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -6.76%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -14.03%E -6.53%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -10.51%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 12:19
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.21%EV -17.83%E -6.86%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.88%EV -16.03%E -7.64%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -14.77%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-07 12:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.14%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-03-07 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.14%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.18%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%0.4%2026-03-07 12:25
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.83%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-03-07 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-03-07 12:24
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-03-07 12:25