Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coventry City v Sheffield Wednesday

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coventry City (Local)

Prediction 82.94%1.21fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -17.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.95%82.91%82.90%85.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.121.121.1795.24%89.16%89.29%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sheffield Wednesday (Visit)

Prediction 5.67%17.63fair odd
EV +30.43%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.421%

assuming max odds 23.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.03%5.73%5.68%7.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.5016.9117.0023.008.70%5.91%5.88%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.39%8.78fair odd
EV +8.20%
Edge +0.863%
Kelly +0.965%
Growth +0.079%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.12%11.36%11.42%12.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.348.389.5014.29%11.98%11.94%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coventry City (Local): 82.94%; Sheffield Wednesday (Visit): 5.67%; Draw: 11.39%. For Sheffield Wednesday (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 17.63. 27 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 23.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +30.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.59%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV +30.43%E +1.32%K +1.38%G +0.421%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.07%EV -6.28%E -5.56%K -48.30%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +13.42%E +0.671%K +0.706%G +0.095%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +8.20%E +0.863%K +0.965%G +0.079%4.0%2026-04-11 10:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.07%EV -6.28%E -5.56%K -48.30%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +13.42%E +0.671%K +0.706%G +0.095%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +8.20%E +0.863%K +0.965%G +0.079%4.0%2026-04-11 10:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.07%EV -6.28%E -5.56%K -48.30%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +13.42%E +0.671%K +0.706%G +0.095%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +8.20%E +0.863%K +0.965%G +0.079%4.0%2026-04-11 10:34
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.83%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.71%EV +13.42%E +0.671%K +0.706%G +0.095%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.2%2026-04-11 11:25
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:23
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:34
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.64%EV -6.28%E -5.56%K -48.30%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:25
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -9.60%E -8.80%K -106.62%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:34
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.81%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 08:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.93%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.00%EV -8.77%E -7.97%K -87.67%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.13%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 10:34
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.00%EV -8.77%E -7.97%K -87.67%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.13%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:25
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.43%EV -8.77%E -7.97%K -87.67%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.12%EV -9.60%E -8.80%K -106.62%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.09%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.24%EV -10.43%E -9.65%K -130.32%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 10:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.08%EV -8.77%E -7.97%K -87.67%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.02%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -20.27%E -2.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 11:25
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.55%EV -3.79%E -3.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%17.80I 5.62%NM 5.45%EV +0.945%E +0.053%K +0.056%G +0.001%8.81I 11.35%NM 11.00%EV +0.341%E +0.039%K +0.044%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 11:25
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.65%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%17.75I 5.63%NM 5.42%EV +0.662%E +0.037%K +0.040%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV +0.227%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 10:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.36%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.59%EV -3.59%E -0.211%K -0.224%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.05%EV -2.05%E -0.238%K -0.270%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 08:00
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -3.59%E -0.211%K -0.224%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 04:40
TAB🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -3.59%E -0.211%K -0.224%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 07:45
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -3.59%E -0.211%K -0.224%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 09:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.41%EV -8.77%E -7.97%K -87.67%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -3.59%E -0.211%K -0.224%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -6.61%E -0.806%K -0.918%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 09:43
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.05%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%16.78I 5.96%NM 5.71%EV -4.84%E -0.288%K -0.307%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.24%EV +6.61%E +0.706%K +0.790%G +0.052%4.4%2026-04-11 11:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.29%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%16.25I 6.15%NM 5.74%EV -7.84%E -0.483%K -0.514%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:20
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.43%EV -3.79%E -3.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.98%EV -9.26%E -0.579%K -0.618%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.59%EV -6.04%E -0.732%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 09:19
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.72%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -9.26%E -0.579%K -0.618%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.6%2026-04-11 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.08%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.85%EV -9.26%E -0.579%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.07%EV -11.73%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 08:09
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -9.26%E -0.579%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%15.25I 6.56%NM 5.99%EV -13.52%E -0.886%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.78%EV -11.73%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:05
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -2.96%E -2.53%K -17.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 09:20
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 11:20
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:20
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.89%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 07:44
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:24
Betway🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.28%E -5.56%K -48.30%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 10:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 82.48%EV -12.91%E -12.30%K -258.27%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 5.97%EV -17.77%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.55%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-11 11:25
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.27%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -20.60%E -1.47%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -11.73%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.27%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -20.60%E -1.47%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -11.73%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 09:20
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.84%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -26.28%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.11%EV -6.04%E -0.732%K -0.833%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -26.28%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 07:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.99%EV -8.77%E -7.97%K -87.67%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.13%EV -29.11%E -2.33%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 07:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.95%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.81%EV -34.78%E -3.02%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 07:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.95%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.81%EV -34.78%E -3.02%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 07:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.82%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%0.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.82%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%0.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.82%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%0.8%2026-04-11 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.0%2026-04-11 11:20
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 86.06%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01%1.9%2026-04-11 11:25
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%2.0%2026-04-11 11:25