Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Coventry City v Sheffield Wednesday

Inicio: 2026-04-11 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Coventry City (Local)

Predicción 82.94%1.21momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -2.53%
Kelly -17.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.95%82.91%82.90%85.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.051.121.121.1795.24%89.16%89.29%85.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sheffield Wednesday (Visitante)

Predicción 5.67%17.63momio equitativo
EV +30.43%
Ventaja +1.32%
Kelly +1.38%
Crecimiento +0.421%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 23.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
4.03%5.73%5.68%7.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
11.5016.9117.0023.008.70%5.91%5.88%4.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 11.39%8.78momio equitativo
EV +8.20%
Ventaja +0.863%
Kelly +0.965%
Crecimiento +0.079%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.12%11.36%11.42%12.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.008.348.389.5014.29%11.98%11.94%10.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Coventry City (Local): 82.94%; Sheffield Wednesday (Visitante): 5.67%; Empate: 11.39%. Para Sheffield Wednesday (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 17.63. 27 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 23.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +30.43%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.59%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV +30.43%E +1.32%K +1.38%G +0.421%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.07%EV -6.28%E -5.56%K -48.30%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +13.42%E +0.671%K +0.706%G +0.095%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +8.20%E +0.863%K +0.965%G +0.079%4.0%2026-04-11 10:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.07%EV -6.28%E -5.56%K -48.30%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +13.42%E +0.671%K +0.706%G +0.095%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +8.20%E +0.863%K +0.965%G +0.079%4.0%2026-04-11 10:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.07%EV -6.28%E -5.56%K -48.30%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +13.42%E +0.671%K +0.706%G +0.095%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +8.20%E +0.863%K +0.965%G +0.079%4.0%2026-04-11 10:34
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.83%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.71%EV +13.42%E +0.671%K +0.706%G +0.095%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.2%2026-04-11 11:25
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:23
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:34
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.5%2026-04-11 10:35
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.64%EV -6.28%E -5.56%K -48.30%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:25
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.35%EV -9.60%E -8.80%K -106.62%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV +7.75%E +0.408%K +0.431%G +0.033%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:34
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.81%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.29%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 08:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.93%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.82%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.00%EV -8.77%E -7.97%K -87.67%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.13%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 10:34
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.00%EV -8.77%E -7.97%K -87.67%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.13%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:25
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.43%EV -8.77%E -7.97%K -87.67%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.12%EV -9.60%E -8.80%K -106.62%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.09%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.24%EV -10.43%E -9.65%K -130.32%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 10:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.08%EV -8.77%E -7.97%K -87.67%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.02%EV +2.08%E +0.116%K +0.122%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -20.27%E -2.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 11:25
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.55%EV -3.79%E -3.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%17.80I 5.62%NM 5.45%EV +0.945%E +0.053%K +0.056%G +0.001%8.81I 11.35%NM 11.00%EV +0.341%E +0.039%K +0.044%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 11:25
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.65%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%17.75I 5.63%NM 5.42%EV +0.662%E +0.037%K +0.040%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV +0.227%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 10:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.36%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.59%EV -3.59%E -0.211%K -0.224%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.05%EV -2.05%E -0.238%K -0.270%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 08:00
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -3.59%E -0.211%K -0.224%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 04:40
TAB🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -3.59%E -0.211%K -0.224%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 07:45
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -3.59%E -0.211%K -0.224%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 09:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.41%EV -8.77%E -7.97%K -87.67%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -3.59%E -0.211%K -0.224%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -6.61%E -0.806%K -0.918%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 09:43
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.05%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%16.78I 5.96%NM 5.71%EV -4.84%E -0.288%K -0.307%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 10.24%EV +6.61%E +0.706%K +0.790%G +0.052%4.4%2026-04-11 11:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.29%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%16.25I 6.15%NM 5.74%EV -7.84%E -0.483%K -0.514%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:20
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.43%EV -3.79%E -3.27%K -23.69%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.98%EV -9.26%E -0.579%K -0.618%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.59%EV -6.04%E -0.732%K -0.833%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 09:19
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.72%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -9.26%E -0.579%K -0.618%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +2.51%E +0.278%K +0.313%G +0.008%6.6%2026-04-11 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.08%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.85%EV -9.26%E -0.579%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.07%EV -11.73%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 08:09
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -9.26%E -0.579%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%15.25I 6.56%NM 5.99%EV -13.52%E -0.886%K -0.948%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.78%EV -11.73%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:05
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -2.96%E -2.53%K -17.42%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 09:20
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 11:20
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.45%E -4.78%K -38.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:20
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.89%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -3.19%E -0.375%K -0.425%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 07:44
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:24
Betway🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.28%E -5.56%K -48.30%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -14.93%E -0.996%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 10:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 82.48%EV -12.91%E -12.30%K -258.27%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 5.97%EV -17.77%E -1.23%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.55%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-11 11:25
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.27%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -20.60%E -1.47%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -11.73%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.27%EV -4.62%E -4.02%K -30.80%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -20.60%E -1.47%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -11.73%E -1.51%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 09:20
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.84%EV -7.11%E -6.35%K -59.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV -26.28%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.11%EV -6.04%E -0.732%K -0.833%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -26.28%E -2.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 07:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.99%EV -8.77%E -7.97%K -87.67%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.13%EV -29.11%E -2.33%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -14.58%E -1.94%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 07:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.95%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.81%EV -34.78%E -3.02%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 07:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.95%EV -7.94%E -7.15%K -72.16%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.81%EV -34.78%E -3.02%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 07:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.82%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%0.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.82%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%0.8%2026-04-11 11:15
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.82%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%0.8%2026-04-11 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.0%2026-04-11 11:20
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 86.06%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01%1.9%2026-04-11 11:25
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 85.29%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%2.0%2026-04-11 11:25