Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlton Athletic v Portsmouth

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Final: Charlton Athletic 0–0 Portsmouth

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlton Athletic (Local)

Prediction 36.77%2.72fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.967%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.87%36.77%36.78%37.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.512.502.6543.48%39.81%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portsmouth (Visit)

Prediction 33.88%2.95fair odd
EV -0.057%
Edge -0.019%
Kelly -0.029%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.44%33.80%33.86%34.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.762.752.9540.82%36.20%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.35%3.41fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -0.951%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.06%29.43%29.36%30.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.143.153.3033.33%31.81%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlton Athletic (Local): 36.77%; Portsmouth (Visit): 33.88%; Draw: 29.35%. For Portsmouth (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.952. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.950, with an expected value of -0.057%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -2.56%E -0.967%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 06:25
NordicBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.22%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.25%EV -6.49%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 08:04
Betsson🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.22%EV -4.03%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.25%EV -6.49%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 08:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.81%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 13:20
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 13:20
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 13:20
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 13:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 13:25
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 13:25
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.25%EV -5.50%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.42%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 20:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.25%EV -5.50%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.42%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%EV -0.057%E -0.019%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 06:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%EV -0.057%E -0.019%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 06:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%EV -0.057%E -0.019%K -0.029%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 06:24
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:20
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:28
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:25
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 13:20
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 13:20
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 14:07
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 00:59
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 08:05
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.11%EV -6.61%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.79%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.10%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:30
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.14%E -0.951%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 12:39
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 06:14
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-07 11:55
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 14:04
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 13:25
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -8.42%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 14:14
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -8.42%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 14:10
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 14:10
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 18:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.24%E -4.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 19:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.81%E -3.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 06:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.81%E -3.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 06:25
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.81%E -3.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 06:24
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.81%E -3.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 06:25
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.81%E -3.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 06:25
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.81%E -3.55%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 06:24
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -9.92%E -4.05%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 06:25
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -10.65%E -4.38%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 06:25
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -10.65%E -4.38%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 06:25
ReBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.70%EV -10.65%E -4.38%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 34.16%EV -11.58%E -4.44%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 29.14%EV -10.18%E -3.33%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -11.75%E -4.90%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 06:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.75%E -4.90%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 06:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.75%E -4.90%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 06:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.75%E -4.90%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.75%E -4.90%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -10.48%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -13.59%E -5.78%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.95%EV -11.06%E -3.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 13:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.96%EV -15.43%E -6.71%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.70%EV -17.00%E -6.94%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.34%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%17.6%2026-09-06 13:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 37.41%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%8.6%2026-09-09 14:05
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.81%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.81%9.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 29.62%2.70I 37.04%NM 25.46%1.53I 65.36%NM 44.92%45.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 29.62%2.70I 37.04%NM 25.46%1.53I 65.36%NM 44.92%45.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 24.06%2.70I 37.04%NM 20.67%1.01I 99.01%NM 55.27%79.2%2026-09-09 17:40