The School of Odds

Charlton Athletic v Derby County

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — Championship

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Charlton Athletic (Local)

Prediction 37.45%2.67fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.68%37.43%37.52%38.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.222.452.452.5745%41%41%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Derby County (Visit)

Prediction 33.79%2.96fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.75%33.78%33.81%35.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.452.722.702.8641%37%37%35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.76%3.48fair odd
EV +0.644%
Edge +0.184%
Kelly +0.257%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%28.79%28.67%30.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.193.203.5034%31%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV +0.644%E +0.184%K +0.257%G +0.002%5.6%2026-07-23 07:20
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.49%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.23%E -0.656%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 18:59
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.23%E -0.656%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 05:10
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.23%E -0.656%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 15:49
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.23%E -0.656%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 06:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.23%E -0.656%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 07:19
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.23%E -0.656%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 07:19
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -11.13%E -4.23%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -2.23%E -0.656%K -0.930%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 07:19
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -3.67%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 22:09
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.49%EV -4.49%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.54%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 13:03
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 15:04
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 15:05
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 17:40
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 15:05
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -11.47%E -4.38%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 05:08
NordicBet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96%EV -3.75%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.81%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 17:40
Betsson2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96%EV -3.75%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.81%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 17:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 04:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 04:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 04:44
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 05:10
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%EV -11.99%E -5.10%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-26 05:10
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.12%EV -3.75%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.35%EV -3.36%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.53%EV -7.12%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 14:15
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.17%EV -5.99%E -2.39%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.68%EV -6.40%E -2.31%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 00:15
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.17%EV -5.99%E -2.39%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.68%EV -6.40%E -2.31%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 00:10
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 07:19
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-10 19:49
betano_uk2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 08:38
ReBet2.42I 41.32%NM 37.60%EV -9.36%E -3.87%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.96%EV -9.44%E -3.52%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-26 05:10
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-17 12:44
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-23 13:25
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.42%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 13:00
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-09 15:04
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 17:40
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 05:59
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:49
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 14:40
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-16 18:25
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.17%EV -15.73%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.68%EV -13.83%E -5.42%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.16%EV -12.30%E -4.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%16.4%2026-06-26 05:10
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.65%EV -15.73%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.58%EV -17.21%E -7.02%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.77%EV -12.30%E -4.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%18.0%2026-06-26 05:09
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.73%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 15:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.73%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 15:05
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.73%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 15:04
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.73%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 15:05
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 38.20%EV -16.85%E -7.59%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 33.52%EV -14.51%E -5.73%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.27%EV -13.73%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%17.9%2026-06-26 05:08
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 37.45%EV -14.98%E -6.60%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 33.73%EV -14.84%E -5.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.82%EV -15.17%E -5.14%K -7.78%G +0.000%17.6%2026-07-11 15:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.86%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%4.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.86%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%4.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.86%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%4.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 36.85%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%6.9%2026-07-23 15:45