Charlton Athletic v Derby County

2026-08-15 14:00 — Championship

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (10 in analysis)

Option 1: Charlton Athletic (Local)

Odds

2.2544.44%Min

2.4341.13%Mean

2.4041.67%Median

2.5539.22%Max

Consensus probabilities

36.83%2.716Min

38.17%2.620Max

37.35%2.677Mean

37.36%2.676Median

37.37%2.676IQM

37.38%2.675Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.55 under the IQM model: 37.37%

EV -4.71%Edge -1.85%Kelly -3.04%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Derby County (Visit)

Odds

2.4540.82%Min

2.6937.12%Mean

2.7037.04%Median

2.8335.34%Max

Consensus probabilities

33.35%2.999Min

35.39%2.826Max

33.81%2.958Mean

33.75%2.963Median

33.75%2.963IQM

33.84%2.955Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.83 under the IQM model: 33.75%

EV -4.48%Edge -1.58%Kelly -2.45%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.0033.33%Min

3.1931.37%Mean

3.2031.25%Median

3.5028.57%Max

Consensus probabilities

27.05%3.696Min

29.70%3.367Max

28.84%3.468Mean

28.89%3.462Median

28.88%3.463IQM

28.79%3.474Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 28.88%

EV +1.08%Edge +0.309%Kelly +0.433%Growth +0.005%

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Charlton Athletic (Local)	Derby County (Visit)	Draw ▼	Margin	Updated
SportsBet	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.88%EV -6.58% E -2.63% K -4.39% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 35.07%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 27.05%EV +1.08% E +0.309% K +0.433% G +0.005%	5.6%	2026-06-26 05:10
Betr (AU)	2.55I 39.22% NM 37.11%EV -4.71% E -1.85% K -3.04% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 35.05%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.84%EV -1.81% E -0.531% K -0.752% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-30 02:59
betfred_uk	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.82%EV -6.58% E -2.63% K -4.39% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.38%EV -7.18% E -2.61% K -4.11% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.81%EV -1.81% E -0.531% K -0.752% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-26 05:10
FanDuel	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.58%EV -6.58% E -2.63% K -4.39% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 34.79%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.63%EV -1.81% E -0.531% K -0.752% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-26 05:10
Sky Bet	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.23%EV -6.58% E -2.63% K -4.39% G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02% NM 35.39%EV -11.23% E -4.27% K -6.89% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.38%EV -1.81% E -0.531% K -0.752% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-26 05:09
Codere (IT)	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.89%EV -6.58% E -2.63% K -4.39% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.83%EV -5.50% E -1.96% K -3.05% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 28.28%EV -3.25% E -0.970% K -1.38% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-26 22:09
Paddy Power	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.83%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17% NM 34.65%EV -11.57% E -4.42% K -7.14% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.51%EV -4.69% E -1.42% K -2.04% G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-06-26 05:08
DraftKings	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.34%EV -6.58% E -2.63% K -4.39% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.94%EV -7.18% E -2.61% K -4.11% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.72%EV -6.14% E -1.89% K -2.73% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-30 07:19
Unibet (UK)	2.45I 40.82% NM 37.58%EV -8.45% E -3.45% K -5.83% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 34.10%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.33%EV -6.14% E -1.89% K -2.73% G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-06-26 05:10
LeoVegas	2.45I 40.82% NM 37.58%EV -8.45% E -3.45% K -5.83% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 34.10%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.33%EV -6.14% E -1.89% K -2.73% G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-02 10:20
Winamax (DE)	2.35I 42.55% NM 38.07%EV -12.19% E -5.19% K -9.03% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 34.41%EV -12.25% E -4.71% K -7.65% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.53%EV -6.14% E -1.89% K -2.73% G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-06-26 05:10
Pinnacle	2.54I 39.37% NM 37.16%EV -5.09% E -2.00% K -3.30% G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34% NM 33.35%EV -4.48% E -1.58% K -2.45% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.49%EV -7.58% E -2.37% K -3.45% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-01 06:29
1xBet	2.51I 39.84% NM 37.17%EV -6.21% E -2.47% K -4.11% G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10% NM 33.68%EV -6.51% E -2.35% K -3.68% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.15%EV -7.58% E -2.37% K -3.45% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-04 11:54
Marathon Bet	2.51I 39.84% NM 37.17%EV -6.21% E -2.47% K -4.11% G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10% NM 33.68%EV -6.51% E -2.35% K -3.68% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.15%EV -7.58% E -2.37% K -3.45% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-04 11:49
William Hill	2.45I 40.82% NM 37.41%EV -8.45% E -3.45% K -5.83% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.95%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.64%EV -7.58% E -2.37% K -3.45% G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-26 10:29
888sport	2.45I 40.82% NM 37.41%EV -8.45% E -3.45% K -5.83% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.95%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.64%EV -7.58% E -2.37% K -3.45% G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-26 12:09
888sport (SE)	2.45I 40.82% NM 37.41%EV -8.45% E -3.45% K -5.83% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.95%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.64%EV -7.58% E -2.37% K -3.45% G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-26 12:09
Mr Green (SE)	2.45I 40.82% NM 37.41%EV -8.45% E -3.45% K -5.83% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.95%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.64%EV -7.58% E -2.37% K -3.45% G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-26 12:19
ReBet	2.42I 41.32% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.95% K -6.74% G +0.000%	2.68I 37.31% NM 33.96%EV -9.55% E -3.56% K -5.68% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.44%EV -7.58% E -2.37% K -3.45% G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-06-26 05:10
Tipico (DE)	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.83%EV -6.58% E -2.63% K -4.39% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.48%EV -7.18% E -2.61% K -4.11% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.70%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-05 14:04
Bally Bet	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.38%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.07%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.38%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.07%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 05:59
Virgin Bet	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.38%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.07%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
Grosvenor	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.38%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.07%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.38%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.07%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.38%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.07%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.38%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.07%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.38%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.07%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.38%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.07%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.38%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.07%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.38%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.07%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.38%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.07%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.38%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.07%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:49
BetRivers	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.55%EV -10.32% E -4.30% K -7.37% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.38%EV -8.87% E -3.29% K -5.22% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.07%EV -10.47% E -3.38% K -4.99% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 14:40
Unibet (FR)	2.25I 44.44% NM 38.17%EV -15.92% E -7.08% K -12.74% G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22% NM 33.68%EV -13.93% E -5.46% K -8.99% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 28.16%EV -11.91% E -3.91% K -5.81% G +0.000%	16.4%	2026-06-26 05:10
Winamax (FR)	2.25I 44.44% NM 37.65%EV -15.92% E -7.08% K -12.74% G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82% NM 34.58%EV -17.31% E -7.07% K -11.94% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 27.77%EV -11.91% E -3.91% K -5.81% G +0.000%	18.0%	2026-06-26 05:09
BoyleSports	2.38I 42.02% NM 37.01%EV -11.06% E -4.65% K -8.02% G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17% NM 33.62%EV -11.57% E -4.42% K -7.14% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.36%EV -13.36% E -4.45% K -6.68% G +0.000%	13.5%	2026-07-04 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.38I 42.02% NM 36.43%EV -11.06% E -4.65% K -8.02% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 34.68%EV -15.62% E -6.25% K -10.41% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 28.90%EV -13.36% E -4.45% K -6.68% G +0.000%	15.4%	2026-06-26 05:10
Betclic (FR)	2.22I 45.05% NM 38.20%EV -17.04% E -7.68% K -13.97% G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53% NM 33.52%EV -14.61% E -5.77% K -9.55% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 28.27%EV -13.36% E -4.45% K -6.68% G +0.000%	17.9%	2026-06-26 05:08

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Charlton Athletic (Local)	Derby County (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	2.30I 43.48%	2.54I 39.37%	2.98I 33.56%	16.4%	2026-06-26 05:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.24I 44.64%	2.44I 40.98%	3.00I 33.33%	19.0%	2026-07-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.24I 44.64%	2.44I 40.98%	3.00I 33.33%	19.0%	2026-07-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.24I 44.64%	2.44I 40.98%	3.00I 33.33%	19.0%	2026-07-05 10:10