La escuela de los momios

Charlton Athletic v Derby County

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — Championship

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Charlton Athletic (Local)

Predicción 37.45%2.67momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.68%37.43%37.52%38.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.222.452.452.5745.05%40.88%40.82%38.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Derby County (Visitante)

Predicción 33.79%2.96momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.75%33.78%33.81%35.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.722.702.8640.82%36.82%37.04%34.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.76%3.48momio equitativo
EV +0.644%
Ventaja +0.184%
Kelly +0.257%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.05%28.79%28.67%30.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.193.203.5033.90%31.33%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV +0.644%E +0.184%K +0.257%G +0.002%5.6%2026-07-23 07:20
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.49%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.23%E -0.656%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 18:59
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.23%E -0.656%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 05:10
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.23%E -0.656%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 15:49
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.23%E -0.656%K -0.930%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 06:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.23%E -0.656%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 07:19
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.23%E -0.656%K -0.930%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-23 07:19
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -11.13%E -4.23%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -2.23%E -0.656%K -0.930%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 07:19
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -3.67%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 22:09
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.49%EV -4.49%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.54%EV -3.69%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 13:03
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 15:04
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 15:05
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 03:39
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 15:05
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -11.47%E -4.38%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.11%E -1.55%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 05:08
NordicBet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96%EV -3.75%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.81%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 03:39
Betsson2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96%EV -3.75%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.81%EV -5.05%E -1.80%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 03:39
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 04:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 04:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 04:44
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 05:10
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%EV -11.99%E -5.10%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-26 05:10
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.12%EV -3.75%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.35%EV -3.36%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.53%EV -7.12%E -2.20%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 14:15
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.17%EV -5.99%E -2.39%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.68%EV -6.40%E -2.31%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 00:15
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.17%EV -5.99%E -2.39%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.68%EV -6.40%E -2.31%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 00:10
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 07:19
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-10 19:49
betano_uk2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 08:38
ReBet2.42I 41.32%NM 37.60%EV -9.36%E -3.87%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.96%EV -9.44%E -3.52%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-26 05:10
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-17 12:44
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -13.86%E -6.03%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -12.14%E -4.67%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -7.98%E -2.49%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-23 13:25
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.42%E -2.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 13:00
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -7.07%E -2.57%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-09 15:04
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 03:39
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 05:59
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:49
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 14:40
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.76%E -3.25%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.86%E -3.50%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-16 18:25
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.17%EV -15.73%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.68%EV -13.83%E -5.42%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.16%EV -12.30%E -4.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%16.4%2026-06-26 05:10
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.65%EV -15.73%E -6.99%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.58%EV -17.21%E -7.02%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.77%EV -12.30%E -4.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%18.0%2026-06-26 05:09
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.73%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 15:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.73%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 15:05
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.73%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 15:04
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.38%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -13.73%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 15:05
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 38.20%EV -16.85%E -7.59%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 33.52%EV -14.51%E -5.73%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.27%EV -13.73%E -4.58%K -6.87%G +0.000%17.9%2026-06-26 05:08
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 37.45%EV -14.98%E -6.60%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 33.73%EV -14.84%E -5.89%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.82%EV -15.17%E -5.14%K -7.78%G +0.000%17.6%2026-07-11 15:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.86%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%4.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.86%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%4.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.86%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%4.0%2026-07-25 14:05
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 36.85%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%6.9%2026-07-23 15:45