Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cardiff City v Wrexham AFC

2026-08-17 19:00 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cardiff City (Local)

Prediction 38.92%2.57fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.33%38.91%38.85%40.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.402.5045.45%41.89%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wrexham AFC (Visit)

Prediction 33.99%2.94fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.858%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.60%34.02%34.04%35.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.752.8740.00%36.64%36.36%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.10%3.69fair odd
EV +0.255%
Edge +0.069%
Kelly +0.094%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.51%27.06%27.11%28.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.433.413.7031.75%29.13%29.33%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cardiff City (Local): 38.92%; Wrexham AFC (Visit): 33.99%; Draw: 27.10%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.70, producing a positive expected value of +0.255%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV +0.255%E +0.069%K +0.094%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:19
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -2.45%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 09:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -2.45%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 18:09
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.45%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 09:29
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.45%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 15:20
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.45%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 15:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -10.49%E -4.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -2.45%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -3.81%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -3.81%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.50%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -3.81%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 12:00
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.70%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.79%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.81%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 19:05
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -3.81%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 18:09
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.13%EV -4.89%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 14:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.17%EV -5.04%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.53%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 09:39
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 08:15
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.95%EV -7.76%E -3.28%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -2.46%E -0.858%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 07:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 09:39
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 07:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -10.49%E -4.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -2.46%E -0.858%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 07:39
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 13:59
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -10.49%E -4.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 07:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -10.49%E -4.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 07:40
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -11.64%E -4.48%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 18:09
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.13%EV -3.14%E -1.10%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.21%EV -5.98%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 00:05
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 10:31
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 10:34
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.88%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.79%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 17:18
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.88%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.79%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 19:09
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.13%EV -3.48%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.14%EV -5.86%E -2.12%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.73%EV -7.60%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 13:55
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.13%EV -3.48%E -1.40%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.14%EV -5.86%E -2.12%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.73%EV -7.60%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 13:59
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 11:59
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 11:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 11:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 11:59
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 12:00
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -4.65%E -1.90%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 11:59
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 20:44
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.00%EV -5.43%E -2.23%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.54%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 13:49
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 13:58
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.49%E -4.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -9.94%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 09:39
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -12.43%E -5.53%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.96%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-11 11:49
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -9.23%E -2.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -14.38%E -6.54%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -9.23%E -2.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 09:39
ReBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -8.24%E -3.05%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.36%EV -10.04%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 09:38
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 13:55
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.59%E -2.75%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.84%E -1.73%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 13:59
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.46%EV -10.62%E -4.04%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 12:00
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.46%EV -10.62%E -4.04%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 11:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -7.37%E -3.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.46%EV -10.62%E -4.04%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 11:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -11.64%E -4.48%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 11:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.43%EV -9.32%E -4.00%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.44%EV -11.64%E -4.48%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.13%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 11:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -14.38%E -6.54%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -15.04%E -6.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -13.29%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-14 09:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -8.54%E -3.63%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.81%EV -14.36%E -5.70%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -14.65%E -4.65%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-14 09:38
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 38.30%EV -11.65%E -5.13%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.10%EV -13.34%E -5.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -14.65%E -4.65%K -6.81%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-14 13:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-14 20:44
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-08-14 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-08-14 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-08-14 19:25
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.49%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-08-14 19:25
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%3.0%2026-08-14 20:10

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