Cardiff City v Wrexham AFC

2026-08-17 19:00 — Championship

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (9 in analysis)

Option 1: Cardiff City (Local)

Odds

2.2045.45%Min

2.3442.72%Mean

2.3342.92%Median

2.4540.82%Max

Consensus probabilities

38.29%2.611Min

39.96%2.502Max

38.81%2.576Mean

38.71%2.583Median

38.68%2.585IQM

38.81%2.576Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.45 under the IQM model: 38.68%

EV -5.22%Edge -2.13%Kelly -3.60%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Wrexham AFC (Visit)

Odds

2.4041.67%Min

2.6637.66%Mean

2.6537.74%Median

2.7736.10%Max

Consensus probabilities

33.57%2.979Min

35.34%2.829Max

34.20%2.924Mean

34.14%2.929Median

34.23%2.922IQM

34.21%2.923Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.77 under the IQM model: 34.23%

EV -5.20%Edge -1.88%Kelly -2.94%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.2031.25%Min

3.4029.39%Mean

3.4029.41%Median

3.7027.03%Max

Consensus probabilities

25.60%3.907Min

27.97%3.575Max

26.98%3.706Mean

27.14%3.684Median

27.09%3.691IQM

26.98%3.707Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.70 under the IQM model: 27.09%

EV +0.231%Edge +0.062%Kelly +0.086%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Cardiff City (Local)	Wrexham AFC (Visit)	Draw ▼	Margin	Updated
SportsBet	2.37I 42.19% NM 39.96%EV -8.32% E -3.51% K -6.07% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.44%EV -5.88% E -2.14% K -3.36% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.60%EV +0.231% E +0.062% K +0.086% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-25 21:20
Codere (IT)	2.45I 40.82% NM 38.89%EV -5.22% E -2.13% K -3.60% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.65%EV -5.88% E -2.14% K -3.36% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.47%EV -2.48% E -0.688% K -0.953% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-28 22:10
betfred_uk	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.38%EV -7.16% E -2.98% K -5.11% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.88% E -2.14% K -3.36% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.25%EV -2.48% E -0.688% K -0.953% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-25 21:20
Betr (AU)	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.38%EV -7.16% E -2.98% K -5.11% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.88% E -2.14% K -3.36% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.25%EV -2.48% E -0.688% K -0.953% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-30 02:59
FanDuel	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.88%EV -9.09% E -3.87% K -6.73% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.08%EV -5.88% E -2.14% K -3.36% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.03%EV -2.48% E -0.688% K -0.953% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-25 21:20
Sky Bet	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.33%EV -7.93% E -3.33% K -5.75% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 34.67%EV -7.59% E -2.81% K -4.47% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.00%EV -2.48% E -0.688% K -0.953% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-25 21:20
Paddy Power	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -11.02% E -4.79% K -8.48% G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17% NM 34.63%EV -10.33% E -3.94% K -6.38% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.92%EV -5.19% E -1.48% K -2.07% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-25 21:40
William Hill	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -11.02% E -4.79% K -8.48% G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17% NM 34.63%EV -10.33% E -3.94% K -6.38% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.92%EV -5.19% E -1.48% K -2.07% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-26 10:29
888sport	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -11.02% E -4.79% K -8.48% G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17% NM 34.63%EV -10.33% E -3.94% K -6.38% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.92%EV -5.19% E -1.48% K -2.07% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-26 12:09
888sport (SE)	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -11.02% E -4.79% K -8.48% G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17% NM 34.63%EV -10.33% E -3.94% K -6.38% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.92%EV -5.19% E -1.48% K -2.07% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-26 12:09
Mr Green (SE)	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.45%EV -11.02% E -4.79% K -8.48% G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17% NM 34.63%EV -10.33% E -3.94% K -6.38% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.92%EV -5.19% E -1.48% K -2.07% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-26 12:19
Winamax (DE)	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.08%EV -11.02% E -4.79% K -8.48% G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22% NM 35.25%EV -12.72% E -4.99% K -8.21% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.68%EV -5.19% E -1.48% K -2.07% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-26 05:10
LeoVegas	2.35I 42.55% NM 38.94%EV -9.09% E -3.87% K -6.73% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.53%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.53%EV -6.54% E -1.90% K -2.67% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-02 10:20
1xBet	2.41I 41.49% NM 38.71%EV -6.77% E -2.81% K -4.80% G +0.000%	2.73I 36.63% NM 34.17%EV -6.56% E -2.40% K -3.79% G +0.000%	3.44I 29.07% NM 27.12%EV -6.81% E -1.98% K -2.79% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-26 10:19
Marathon Bet	2.41I 41.49% NM 38.71%EV -6.77% E -2.81% K -4.80% G +0.000%	2.73I 36.63% NM 34.17%EV -6.56% E -2.40% K -3.79% G +0.000%	3.44I 29.07% NM 27.12%EV -6.81% E -1.98% K -2.79% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-26 09:49
Pinnacle	2.45I 40.82% NM 38.48%EV -5.22% E -2.13% K -3.60% G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10% NM 34.03%EV -5.20% E -1.88% K -2.94% G +0.000%	3.43I 29.15% NM 27.49%EV -7.08% E -2.07% K -2.91% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-25 21:20
ReBet	2.35I 42.55% NM 38.70%EV -9.09% E -3.87% K -6.73% G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17% NM 34.71%EV -10.33% E -3.94% K -6.38% G +0.000%	3.42I 29.24% NM 26.59%EV -7.35% E -2.15% K -3.04% G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-06-26 05:10
DraftKings	2.45I 40.82% NM 38.29%EV -5.22% E -2.13% K -3.60% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.11%EV -5.88% E -2.14% K -3.36% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.59%EV -7.90% E -2.32% K -3.29% G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-06-29 00:19
Unibet (UK)	2.38I 42.02% NM 38.49%EV -7.93% E -3.33% K -5.75% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.57%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.94%EV -7.90% E -2.32% K -3.29% G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-06-26 05:10
Tipico (DE)	2.40I 41.67% NM 38.46%EV -7.16% E -2.98% K -5.11% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.57%EV -5.88% E -2.14% K -3.36% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.97%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-06-26 14:19
Bally Bet	2.33I 42.92% NM 38.68%EV -9.86% E -4.23% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.31%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX	2.33I 42.92% NM 38.68%EV -9.86% E -4.23% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.31%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 05:59
Virgin Bet	2.33I 42.92% NM 38.68%EV -9.86% E -4.23% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.31%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
Grosvenor	2.33I 42.92% NM 38.68%EV -9.86% E -4.23% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.31%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)	2.33I 42.92% NM 38.68%EV -9.86% E -4.23% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.31%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet	2.33I 42.92% NM 38.68%EV -9.86% E -4.23% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.31%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)	2.33I 42.92% NM 38.68%EV -9.86% E -4.23% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.31%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)	2.33I 42.92% NM 38.68%EV -9.86% E -4.23% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.31%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo	2.33I 42.92% NM 38.68%EV -9.86% E -4.23% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.31%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel	2.33I 42.92% NM 38.68%EV -9.86% E -4.23% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.31%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)	2.33I 42.92% NM 38.68%EV -9.86% E -4.23% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.31%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch	2.33I 42.92% NM 38.68%EV -9.86% E -4.23% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.31%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet	2.33I 42.92% NM 38.68%EV -9.86% E -4.23% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.31%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 06:49
BetRivers	2.33I 42.92% NM 38.68%EV -9.86% E -4.23% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.01%EV -9.30% E -3.51% K -5.64% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.31%EV -10.60% E -3.21% K -4.61% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-30 14:40
Unibet (FR)	2.20I 45.45% NM 39.11%EV -14.89% E -6.77% K -12.41% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 34.42%EV -14.44% E -5.77% K -9.62% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 26.47%EV -11.96% E -3.68% K -5.32% G +0.000%	16.2%	2026-06-26 05:10
Winamax (FR)	2.20I 45.45% NM 38.56%EV -14.89% E -6.77% K -12.41% G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67% NM 35.34%EV -17.86% E -7.44% K -12.76% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 26.10%EV -11.96% E -3.68% K -5.32% G +0.000%	17.9%	2026-06-26 05:09
BoyleSports	2.25I 44.44% NM 38.42%EV -12.96% E -5.76% K -10.37% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 34.57%EV -14.44% E -5.77% K -9.62% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 27.01%EV -13.31% E -4.16% K -6.05% G +0.000%	15.7%	2026-06-26 13:49
Betclic (FR)	2.15I 46.51% NM 39.39%EV -16.83% E -7.83% K -14.63% G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32% NM 34.15%EV -15.12% E -6.10% K -10.22% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 26.46%EV -13.31% E -4.16% K -6.05% G +0.000%	18.1%	2026-06-26 05:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.20I 45.45% NM 39.27%EV -14.89% E -6.77% K -12.41% G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02% NM 32.85%EV -9.99% E -3.80% K -6.13% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 27.87%EV -16.02% E -5.17% K -7.63% G +0.000%	15.7%	2026-06-25 21:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Cardiff City (Local)	Wrexham AFC (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	2.24I 44.64%	2.48I 40.32%	3.15I 31.75%	16.7%	2026-06-26 05:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.40I 41.67%	2.70I 37.04%	2.58I 38.76%	17.5%	2026-07-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.40I 41.67%	2.70I 37.04%	2.58I 38.76%	17.5%	2026-07-05 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.40I 41.67%	2.38I 42.02%	2.58I 38.76%	22.4%	2026-07-05 10:10