La escuela de los momios

Cardiff City v Wrexham AFC

2026-08-17 19:00 UTC — Championship

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cardiff City (Local)

Predicción 38.63%2.59momio equitativo
EV -4.59%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -3.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.20%38.77%38.61%39.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.362.382.4746.51%42.30%42.02%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wrexham AFC (Visitante)

Predicción 34.42%2.91momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.42%34.37%34.47%35.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.672.652.8041.67%37.42%37.74%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.95%3.71momio equitativo
EV +1.07%
Ventaja +0.284%
Kelly +0.387%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.47%26.85%26.93%28.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.413.403.7531.75%29.34%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV +1.07%E +0.284%K +0.387%G +0.004%4.7%2026-07-14 18:59
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -8.45%E -3.57%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -0.282%E -0.076%K -0.104%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 21:20
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -1.63%E -0.446%K -0.615%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 09:55
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -2.98%E -0.827%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 22:10
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.98%E -0.827%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 21:20
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.98%E -0.827%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 02:59
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -2.98%E -0.827%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 18:25
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -9.22%E -3.92%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.98%E -0.827%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-25 21:20
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -8.06%E -3.39%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.98%E -0.827%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-25 21:20
NordicBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -4.97%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.89%EV -4.86%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 21:35
Betsson2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -4.97%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.89%EV -4.86%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 18:24
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 08:10
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 08:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 08:10
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 08:08
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 20:10
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.15%E -4.85%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-25 21:40
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.15%E -4.85%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -12.23%E -4.80%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -5.67%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-26 05:10
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 38.55%EV -4.59%E -1.86%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.44%EV -6.48%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 19:15
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 08:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 08:10
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.03%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -7.29%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 10:19
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.03%E -2.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -7.29%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 09:49
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -9.22%E -3.92%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.59%EV -7.83%E -2.29%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-26 05:10
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 11:15
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 18:05
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.06%E -3.39%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-26 05:10
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.06%E -3.39%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 13:34
betano_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.06%E -3.39%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 13:34
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.06%E -3.39%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 14:14
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.22%E -3.92%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-24 09:35
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.22%E -3.92%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 18:25
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -15.02%E -6.83%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -8.37%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-23 15:15
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 05:59
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 06:49
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 14:40
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -8.79%E -3.32%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-16 18:25
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 20:05
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 20:05
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 20:05
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-20 20:05
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -15.02%E -6.83%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.42%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%16.2%2026-06-26 05:10
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.56%EV -15.02%E -6.83%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.34%EV -17.39%E -7.25%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.10%EV -12.41%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%17.9%2026-06-26 05:09
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.39%EV -16.95%E -7.88%K -14.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 34.15%EV -14.64%E -5.90%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.46%EV -13.76%E -4.30%K -6.25%G +0.000%18.1%2026-06-26 05:08
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -15.02%E -6.83%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.13%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.09%EV -15.10%E -4.80%K -7.03%G +0.000%17.2%2026-07-11 15:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 37.87%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%4.8%2026-07-25 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 37.87%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%4.8%2026-07-25 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 37.46%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%5.9%2026-07-25 18:05
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%10.5%2026-07-26 02:05