Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bristol City v Wolverhampton Wanderers

2026-11-04 20:00 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bristol City (Local)

Prediction 30.33%3.30fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -0.915%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.25%30.34%30.37%31.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.063.103.2036.36%32.71%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visit)

Prediction 43.23%2.31fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.629%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.88%43.11%43.22%44.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.152.152.2852.63%46.52%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.43%3.78fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.592%
Kelly -0.812%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.55%26.41%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.503.7031.25%28.84%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bristol City (Local): 30.33%; Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visit): 43.23%; Draw: 26.43%. For Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.28, with an expected value of -1.43%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%EV -2.93%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.47%EV -1.43%E -0.629%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-28 20:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%EV -2.93%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.47%EV -1.43%E -0.629%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-28 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%EV -2.93%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.47%EV -1.43%E -0.629%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-28 20:45
GTbets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.89%EV -4.14%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.13%EV -5.32%E -2.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-29 00:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.45%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-29 05:50
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-29 05:49
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-29 05:50
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.19%E -0.592%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 05:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -2.73%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-29 06:04
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.51%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 05:50
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 05:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 05:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 05:50
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 05:49
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 20:44
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 20:45
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 20:45
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 20:45
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 20:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 20:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-29 05:25
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-29 05:49
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-29 06:05
picklebet_au🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-28 20:04
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 07:36
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.76%E -2.64%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-28 20:35
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -8.35%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-30 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.19%E -2.85%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.44%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-28 20:44
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.74%EV -7.78%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -5.76%E -2.64%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-29 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.09%EV -6.62%E -3.07%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.29%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-29 06:05
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-29 05:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-29 05:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 20:44
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 20:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 20:45
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 20:45
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-29 05:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-28 21:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.47%EV -12.67%E -6.27%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.77%EV -13.29%E -4.05%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-28 20:05
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-29 09:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.09%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-28 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.25%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.65%EV -17.86%E -9.40%K -19.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.10%EV -14.09%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%17.9%2026-10-28 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.79%EV -16.58%E -6.03%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 42.76%EV -14.40%E -7.27%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.46%EV -15.41%E -4.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%18.1%2026-10-28 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 30.01%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.84%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%13.3%2026-10-29 05:25
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 31.02%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.28%3.23I 30.96%NM 26.70%16.0%2026-10-30 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 32.94%1.17I 85.47%NM 32.94%1.13I 88.50%NM 34.11%159.4%2026-10-29 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 32.94%1.17I 85.47%NM 32.94%1.13I 88.50%NM 34.11%159.4%2026-10-29 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 32.64%1.17I 85.47%NM 32.64%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.72%161.8%2026-10-29 10:05