Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Bristol City v Wolverhampton Wanderers

2026-11-04 20:00 UTC — Championship

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (9 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Bristol City (Local)

Predicción 30.33%3.30momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -0.915%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.25%30.34%30.37%31.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.063.103.2036.36%32.71%32.26%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visitante)

Predicción 43.23%2.31momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.629%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.88%43.11%43.22%44.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.152.152.2852.63%46.52%46.51%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.43%3.78momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.592%
Kelly -0.812%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.55%26.55%26.41%27.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.473.503.7031.25%28.84%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Bristol City (Local): 30.33%; Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visitante): 43.23%; Empate: 26.43%. Para Wolverhampton Wanderers (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.31. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.28, con un valor esperado de -1.43%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%EV -2.93%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.47%EV -1.43%E -0.629%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-28 20:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%EV -2.93%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.47%EV -1.43%E -0.629%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-28 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.26%EV -2.93%E -0.915%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.47%EV -1.43%E -0.629%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-28 20:45
GTbets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.89%EV -4.14%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.13%EV -5.32%E -2.43%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-29 00:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.45%E -1.41%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-29 05:50
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-29 05:49
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-29 05:50
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.19%E -0.592%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-29 05:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -2.73%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-29 06:04
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.51%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-29 05:50
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 05:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 05:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 05:50
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 05:49
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 20:44
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 20:45
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 20:45
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 20:45
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 20:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 20:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-29 05:25
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-29 05:49
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-29 06:05
picklebet_au🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-28 20:04
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.16%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 07:36
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -5.76%E -2.64%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -10.12%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-28 20:35
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -8.35%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-30 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.48%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -6.19%E -2.85%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -11.44%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-28 20:44
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.74%EV -7.78%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -5.76%E -2.64%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.40%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-29 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.62%EV -7.78%E -2.56%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.09%EV -6.62%E -3.07%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.29%EV -6.42%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-29 06:05
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-29 05:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-29 05:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 20:44
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 20:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 20:45
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-28 20:45
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.00%E -3.00%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-29 05:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-28 21:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.47%EV -12.67%E -6.27%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.77%EV -13.29%E -4.05%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-28 20:05
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-29 09:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.09%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-28 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.25%EV -12.03%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 44.65%EV -17.86%E -9.40%K -19.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.10%EV -14.09%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%17.9%2026-10-28 20:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.79%EV -16.58%E -6.03%K -9.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 42.76%EV -14.40%E -7.27%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.46%EV -15.41%E -4.82%K -7.00%G +0.000%18.1%2026-10-28 21:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 30.01%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.84%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.15%13.3%2026-10-29 05:25
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 31.02%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.28%3.23I 30.96%NM 26.70%16.0%2026-10-30 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 32.94%1.17I 85.47%NM 32.94%1.13I 88.50%NM 34.11%159.4%2026-10-29 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 32.94%1.17I 85.47%NM 32.94%1.13I 88.50%NM 34.11%159.4%2026-10-29 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 32.64%1.17I 85.47%NM 32.64%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.72%161.8%2026-10-29 10:05