The School of Odds

Bolton Wanderers v Preston North End

2026-08-15 11:30 — Championship

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (10 in analysis)

Option 1: Bolton Wanderers (Local)

Odds
2.0050.00%Min
2.1646.35%Mean
2.1546.51%Median
2.2544.44%Max
Consensus probabilities
40.76%2.453Min
43.06%2.322Max
42.30%2.364Mean
42.45%2.356Median
42.41%2.358IQM
42.35%2.361Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.25 under the IQM model: 42.41%

EV -4.58%Edge -2.04%Kelly -3.67%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Preston North End (Visit)

Odds
2.8535.09%Min
3.1132.17%Mean
3.1032.26%Median
3.3030.30%Max
Consensus probabilities
28.67%3.488Min
30.57%3.271Max
29.24%3.420Mean
29.07%3.440Median
29.10%3.436IQM
29.20%3.424Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.30 under the IQM model: 29.10%

EV -3.96%Edge -1.20%Kelly -1.72%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.0532.79%Min
3.2330.98%Mean
3.2031.25%Median
3.4029.41%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.68%3.613Min
28.95%3.455Max
28.47%3.513Mean
28.48%3.511Median
28.49%3.510IQM
28.45%3.515Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 28.49%

EV -3.13%Edge -0.921%Kelly -1.30%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

BookmakerBolton Wanderers (Local) ▼Preston North End (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44% NM 42.29%EV -4.58% E -2.04% K -3.67% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.73%EV -6.87% E -2.15% K -3.12% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.98%EV -3.13% E -0.921% K -1.30% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 21:20
William Hill2.25I 44.44% NM 40.76%EV -4.58% E -2.04% K -3.67% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.57%EV -12.69% E -4.23% K -6.35% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.66%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 10:29
888sport2.25I 44.44% NM 40.76%EV -4.58% E -2.04% K -3.67% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.57%EV -12.69% E -4.23% K -6.35% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.66%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 12:09
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44% NM 40.76%EV -4.58% E -2.04% K -3.67% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.57%EV -12.69% E -4.23% K -6.35% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.66%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 12:09
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44% NM 40.76%EV -4.58% E -2.04% K -3.67% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.57%EV -12.69% E -4.23% K -6.35% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.66%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 12:19
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64% NM 42.60%EV -5.01% E -2.24% K -4.04% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.92%EV -3.96% E -1.20% K -1.72% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.48%EV -4.55% E -1.36% K -1.94% G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 11:50
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05% NM 42.45%EV -5.86% E -2.64% K -4.80% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.00%EV -5.42% E -1.67% K -2.41% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.56%EV -5.98% E -1.81% K -2.60% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 06:29
1xBet2.21I 45.25% NM 42.41%EV -6.28% E -2.84% K -5.19% G +0.000%3.21I 31.15% NM 29.20%EV -6.58% E -2.05% K -2.98% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.40%EV -5.98% E -1.81% K -2.60% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-03 22:50
SportsBet2.20I 45.45% NM 42.83%EV -6.70% E -3.05% K -5.59% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.45%EV -6.87% E -2.15% K -3.12% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.72%EV -3.13% E -0.921% K -1.30% G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 21:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45% NM 42.83%EV -6.70% E -3.05% K -5.59% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.45%EV -6.87% E -2.15% K -3.12% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.72%EV -3.13% E -0.921% K -1.30% G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 21:20
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45% NM 42.83%EV -6.70% E -3.05% K -5.59% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.45%EV -6.87% E -2.15% K -3.12% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.72%EV -3.13% E -0.921% K -1.30% G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 02:59
DraftKings2.20I 45.45% NM 42.29%EV -6.70% E -3.05% K -5.59% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.08%EV -6.87% E -2.15% K -3.12% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.63%EV -7.40% E -2.28% K -3.29% G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-30 07:19
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -6.70% E -3.05% K -5.59% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.95%EV -6.87% E -2.15% K -3.12% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.95%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 14:19
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45% NM 42.08%EV -6.70% E -3.05% K -5.59% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.86%EV -9.78% E -3.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.05%EV -5.98% E -1.81% K -2.60% G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 21:20
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66% NM 42.59%EV -7.13% E -3.26% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.15%EV -6.87% E -2.15% K -3.12% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.26%EV -5.98% E -1.81% K -2.60% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 18:09
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87% NM 42.14%EV -7.55% E -3.46% K -6.40% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.16%EV -8.33% E -2.64% K -3.87% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.70%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-02 10:20
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51% NM 42.67%EV -8.82% E -4.10% K -7.67% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.67%EV -6.87% E -2.15% K -3.12% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.67%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-28 11:50
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51% NM 42.64%EV -8.82% E -4.10% K -7.67% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.57%EV -9.78% E -3.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.78%EV -5.98% E -1.81% K -2.60% G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-25 21:17
ReBet2.15I 46.51% NM 42.28%EV -8.82% E -4.10% K -7.67% G +0.000%3.12I 32.05% NM 29.14%EV -9.20% E -2.95% K -4.34% G +0.000%3.18I 31.45% NM 28.59%EV -9.40% E -2.96% K -4.31% G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-28 11:50
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -10.10% E -4.76% K -9.02% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.78% E -3.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -10.10% E -4.76% K -9.02% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.78% E -3.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:59
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -10.10% E -4.76% K -9.02% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.78% E -3.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -10.10% E -4.76% K -9.02% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.78% E -3.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -10.10% E -4.76% K -9.02% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.78% E -3.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -10.10% E -4.76% K -9.02% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.78% E -3.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -10.10% E -4.76% K -9.02% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.78% E -3.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -10.10% E -4.76% K -9.02% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.78% E -3.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -10.10% E -4.76% K -9.02% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.78% E -3.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -10.10% E -4.76% K -9.02% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.78% E -3.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -10.10% E -4.76% K -9.02% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.78% E -3.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:49
BetRivers2.12I 47.17% NM 42.62%EV -10.10% E -4.76% K -9.02% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.78% E -3.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.24%EV -8.83% E -2.76% K -4.01% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 14:40
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17% NM 42.23%EV -10.10% E -4.76% K -9.02% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 29.35%EV -11.24% E -3.69% K -5.48% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.42%EV -10.25% E -3.25% K -4.77% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17% NM 42.23%EV -10.10% E -4.76% K -9.02% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 29.35%EV -11.24% E -3.69% K -5.48% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 28.42%EV -10.25% E -3.25% K -4.77% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62% NM 42.83%EV -10.95% E -5.21% K -9.95% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 29.49%EV -11.24% E -3.69% K -5.48% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.68%EV -7.40% E -2.28% K -3.29% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-28 11:49
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62% NM 42.06%EV -10.95% E -5.21% K -9.95% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.44%EV -12.69% E -4.23% K -6.35% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.49%EV -11.68% E -3.77% K -5.56% G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-04 10:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62% NM 40.68%EV -10.95% E -5.21% K -9.95% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 29.66%EV -16.19% E -5.62% K -8.61% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 29.66%EV -17.95% E -6.23% K -9.55% G +0.000%17.1%2026-06-25 21:50
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00% NM 43.06%EV -15.19% E -7.59% K -15.19% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.71%EV -12.69% E -4.23% K -6.35% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 28.24%EV -13.10% E -4.30% K -6.39% G +0.000%16.1%2026-06-28 11:49
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00% NM 42.42%EV -15.19% E -7.59% K -15.19% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 29.77%EV -17.06% E -5.99% K -9.22% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 27.82%EV -13.10% E -4.30% K -6.39% G +0.000%17.9%2026-06-28 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51% NM 42.73%EV -16.03% E -8.10% K -16.36% G +0.000%2.93I 34.13% NM 28.88%EV -14.73% E -5.03% K -7.63% G +0.000%2.98I 33.56% NM 28.39%EV -15.10% E -5.07% K -7.62% G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-28 11:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerBolton Wanderers (Local)Preston North End (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%2.96I 33.78%2.98I 33.56%16.4%2026-06-28 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%2.76I 36.23%2.80I 35.71%17.0%2026-07-05 10:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%2.76I 36.23%2.80I 35.71%17.0%2026-07-05 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%2.76I 36.23%2.80I 35.71%17.0%2026-07-05 10:15