La escuela de los momios

Bolton Wanderers v Preston North End

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — Championship

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bolton Wanderers (Local)

Predicción 42.47%2.35momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.53%42.41%42.50%43.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.982.172.192.2850.51%46.17%45.77%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Preston North End (Visitante)

Predicción 29.17%3.43momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.67%29.19%29.17%30.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.143.133.3035.09%31.83%31.90%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.36%3.53momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.29%28.40%28.33%29.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.983.233.203.4033.56%30.95%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.16%E -1.39%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -4.92%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -7.54%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 06:55
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.16%E -1.39%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -4.92%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -7.54%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 06:55
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 18:59
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.30%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 11:35
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 21:20
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 12:40
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.21%E -1.60%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 12:35
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 06:55
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.44%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 12:35
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.60%EV -4.86%E -2.17%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -3.75%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.48%EV -4.99%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 11:50
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 42.49%EV -4.86%E -2.17%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.02%EV -4.33%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.50%EV -5.27%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 11:45
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.41%EV -6.14%E -2.78%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.20%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 09:39
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 21:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 21:20
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 02:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 09:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 07:25
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 11:15
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 14:19
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 21:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 12:34
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 12:35
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 12:35
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.08%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 12:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -6.56%E -2.98%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 10:54
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.59%EV -6.99%E -3.19%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 09:35
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.41%E -3.40%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.13%E -2.58%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 13:35
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.44%EV -9.00%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 09:05
betano_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.44%EV -9.00%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 09:04
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.67%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-28 11:50
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-25 21:17
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 11:35
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -9.00%E -2.88%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.59%EV -9.81%E -3.08%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-28 11:50
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:59
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 06:49
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 14:40
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.58%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-16 18:25
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -11.04%E -3.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -9.96%E -4.70%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -11.04%E -3.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 06:19
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -10.81%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -11.04%E -3.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-28 11:49
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -12.93%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -15.42%E -5.32%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-23 14:19
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.06%EV -15.06%E -7.53%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -12.50%E -4.17%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -13.50%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%16.1%2026-06-28 11:49
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.42%EV -15.06%E -7.53%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.77%EV -16.88%E -5.92%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.82%EV -13.50%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%17.9%2026-06-28 11:49
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 42.65%EV -15.48%E -7.78%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.06%EV -14.83%E -5.08%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.29%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-22 23:59
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 42.73%EV -15.91%E -8.03%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 28.88%EV -14.54%E -4.96%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.39%EV -15.48%E -5.20%K -7.82%G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-28 11:48
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%4.1%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%4.1%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%4.1%2026-07-26 02:00
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%5.4%2026-07-26 02:05