Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viborg FF v FC Nordsjaelland

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viborg FF (Local)

Prediction 44.34%2.26fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.477%
Kelly +0.849%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.71%44.29%44.30%45.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.102.102.2854.05%47.72%47.62%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Nordsjaelland (Visit)

Prediction 30.38%3.29fair odd
EV -0.969%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.429%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.09%30.43%30.38%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.003.003.2636.36%33.39%33.33%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.29%3.95fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.355%
Kelly -0.477%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.07%25.29%25.32%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.633.623.9032.26%27.58%27.62%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Viborg FF (Local): 44.34%; FC Nordsjaelland (Visit): 30.38%; Draw: 25.29%. For Viborg FF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.74%EV +1.09%E +0.477%K +0.849%G +0.009%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%EV -2.65%E -0.688%K -0.929%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-01 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.74%EV +1.09%E +0.477%K +0.849%G +0.009%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%EV -2.65%E -0.688%K -0.929%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-01 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:25
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:24
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:24
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 15:24
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.10%EV -3.79%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 15:39
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.83%EV -3.79%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 15:55
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.94%EV -4.23%E -1.96%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 15:25
LeoVegas🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.80%EV -4.23%E -1.96%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 15:55
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.03%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.70%EV -0.969%E -0.297%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.28%EV -3.15%E -0.824%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 15:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 15:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 15:14
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:54
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:54
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -5.12%E -2.39%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.90%EV -12.51%E -4.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 15:25
GTbets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.29%EV -5.56%E -2.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.14%EV -4.92%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.57%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:55
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -6.01%E -2.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.23%EV -4.61%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:55
Suprabets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -6.01%E -2.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.47%EV -6.74%E -2.20%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.95%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 15:36
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.87%EV -6.01%E -2.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -13.42%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.04%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.71%EV -6.44%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -1.38%E -0.355%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 15:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.04%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.71%EV -6.44%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -1.38%E -0.355%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 15:54
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:54
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 15:48
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 15:54
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 15:14
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 15:09
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:53
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:49
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 15:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -14.94%E -5.34%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -7.34%E -3.51%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -8.46%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:54
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 15:25
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 15:14
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 15:54
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 15:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -13.42%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 15:23
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 15:09
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 15:09
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 15:09
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.33%E -5.66%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 15:49
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.33%E -5.66%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 15:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.99%EV -11.33%E -5.66%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -13.42%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-01 15:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -11.33%E -5.66%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.02%EV -14.03%E -4.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -11.33%E -5.66%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 15:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.66%EV -12.66%E -6.42%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.05%EV -15.85%E -5.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-01 15:40
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -13.54%E -6.95%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-01 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -15.32%E -8.02%K -16.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -12.51%E -4.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -21.61%E -6.97%K -10.29%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-01 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 45.02%EV -17.98%E -9.72%K -21.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -14.94%E -5.34%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -16.56%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-03-01 15:49
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%0.9%2026-03-01 15:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%1.6%2026-03-01 15:54
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%2.5%2026-03-01 15:54