La escuela de los momios

Viborg FF v FC Nordsjaelland

Inicio: 2026-03-01 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Viborg FF (Local)

Predicción 44.34%2.26momio equitativo
EV +1.09%
Ventaja +0.477%
Kelly +0.849%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.71%44.29%44.30%45.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.102.102.2854.05%47.72%47.62%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Nordsjaelland (Visitante)

Predicción 30.38%3.29momio equitativo
EV -0.969%
Ventaja -0.297%
Kelly -0.429%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.09%30.43%30.38%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.003.003.2636.36%33.39%33.33%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.29%3.95momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.355%
Kelly -0.477%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.07%25.29%25.32%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.633.623.9032.26%27.58%27.62%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.74%EV +1.09%E +0.477%K +0.849%G +0.009%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%EV -2.65%E -0.688%K -0.929%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-01 15:55
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.74%EV +1.09%E +0.477%K +0.849%G +0.009%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%EV -2.65%E -0.688%K -0.929%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-01 15:55
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:24
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:25
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:24
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -2.46%E -1.12%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:24
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.10%EV -3.35%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 15:24
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.10%EV -3.79%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 15:39
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.83%EV -3.79%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 15:55
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.94%EV -4.23%E -1.96%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 15:25
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.80%EV -4.23%E -1.96%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 15:55
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.03%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.70%EV -0.969%E -0.297%K -0.429%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.28%EV -3.15%E -0.824%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 15:24
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 15:24
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 15:14
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:54
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 15:54
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -4.68%E -2.18%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -5.12%E -2.39%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.90%EV -12.51%E -4.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 15:25
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.29%EV -5.56%E -2.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.14%EV -4.92%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.57%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:55
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.78%EV -6.01%E -2.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.23%EV -4.61%E -1.47%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -3.91%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:55
Suprabets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -6.01%E -2.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.47%EV -6.74%E -2.20%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.95%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 15:36
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.87%EV -6.01%E -2.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -13.42%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 15:25
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.04%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.71%EV -6.44%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -1.38%E -0.355%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 15:54
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.04%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.71%EV -6.44%E -2.09%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -1.38%E -0.355%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 15:54
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 15:54
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 15:48
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.79%E -0.872%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 15:54
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 15:49
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 15:14
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.44%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 15:09
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 15:53
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.39%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.71%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 15:49
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.35%E -2.41%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 15:39
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 15:34
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -6.89%E -3.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -14.94%E -5.34%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.23%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 15:55
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -7.34%E -3.51%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -4.31%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -8.46%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 15:54
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 15:25
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 15:49
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 15:14
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 15:54
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 15:54
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -5.83%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 15:54
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-01 15:39
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -13.42%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -5.18%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-01 15:23
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 15:09
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 15:09
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.11%E -4.44%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 15:09
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.33%E -5.66%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 15:49
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.33%E -5.66%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.87%E -2.96%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-01 15:49
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.99%EV -11.33%E -5.66%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -13.42%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.14%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-01 15:34
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -11.33%E -5.66%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.02%EV -14.03%E -4.96%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -11.50%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 15:34
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -11.33%E -5.66%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-01 15:25
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 43.66%EV -12.66%E -6.42%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.05%EV -15.85%E -5.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -14.03%E -4.13%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-01 15:40
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -13.54%E -6.95%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -16.46%E -5.99%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -8.97%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-01 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -15.32%E -8.02%K -16.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -12.51%E -4.34%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -21.61%E -6.97%K -10.29%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-01 15:20
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.02%EV -17.98%E -9.72%K -21.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.74%EV -14.94%E -5.34%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -16.56%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-01 15:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-03-01 15:49
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%0.9%2026-03-01 15:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-03-01 15:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%1.6%2026-03-01 15:54
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%2.5%2026-03-01 15:54