Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viborg FF v FC Nordsjaelland

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viborg FF (Local)

Prediction 40.52%2.47fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.44%40.60%40.49%42.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.242.252.4048.08%44.56%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Nordsjaelland (Visit)

Prediction 33.42%2.99fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.479%
Kelly -0.724%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.50%33.38%33.29%34.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.752.9540.00%36.33%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.06%3.84fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.417%
Kelly +0.560%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.57%26.02%26.22%27.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.563.543.9032.26%28.11%28.21%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Viborg FF (Local): 40.52%; FC Nordsjaelland (Visit): 33.42%; Draw: 26.06%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -7.61%E -3.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -1.41%E -0.479%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV +1.63%E +0.417%K +0.560%G +0.009%3.4%2026-04-16 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -7.61%E -3.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -1.41%E -0.479%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV +1.63%E +0.417%K +0.560%G +0.009%3.4%2026-04-16 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.980%E -0.258%K -0.350%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:05
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.980%E -0.258%K -0.350%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:05
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.980%E -0.258%K -0.350%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:05
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.980%E -0.258%K -0.350%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.980%E -0.258%K -0.350%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:09
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -0.980%E -0.258%K -0.350%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 20:43
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.28%E -0.609%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:59
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.28%E -0.609%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 16:05
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.28%E -0.609%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 16:05
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -2.28%E -0.609%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 16:05
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -2.28%E -0.609%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.59%E -0.969%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 20:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.59%E -0.969%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -11.66%E -5.35%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.59%E -0.969%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 16:10
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.59%E -0.969%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 20:44
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.59%E -0.969%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 20:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -12.88%E -5.99%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -4.89%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-16 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.52%EV -14.09%E -6.65%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.78%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -4.89%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-16 16:05
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.44%EV -2.75%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.55%EV -8.43%E -3.08%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.01%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.73%EV -5.18%E -2.21%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.40%EV -5.93%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -3.56%E -1.49%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:10
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:15
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 17:19
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 20:59
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.18%EV -15.71%E -7.55%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-16 16:05
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.55%EV -6.39%E -2.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.98%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.46%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 01:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.72%EV -7.20%E -3.15%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -5.42%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 23:25
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:10
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:19
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:34
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:19
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 19:24
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 19:14
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.12%EV -12.88%E -5.99%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -12.11%E -4.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 16:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -5.99%E -2.58%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.82%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -5.99%E -2.58%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.82%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:39
Suprabets🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.57%EV -8.42%E -3.72%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.86%EV -6.76%E -2.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:22
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 19:10
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 19:09
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.11%E -4.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.11%E -4.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 19:14
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.44%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.44%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 19:15
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.88%E -5.99%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 16:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.97%EV -12.88%E -5.99%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -16.45%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%EV -12.71%E -3.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 19:09
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:14
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.92%EV -14.90%E -7.10%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.05%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.04%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 19:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.15%EV -12.88%E -5.99%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.46%EV -13.78%E -5.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.40%EV -14.79%E -4.52%K -6.52%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 19:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.37%EV -14.09%E -6.65%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.30%EV -14.11%E -5.49%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-24 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.24%EV -14.90%E -7.10%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.50%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.26%EV -19.22%E -6.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-22 20:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 39.92%2.66I 37.59%NM 33.92%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%10.8%2026-04-23 21:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 36.77%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.35%16.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 36.77%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.35%16.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 44.46%2.88I 34.72%NM 26.24%2.58I 38.76%NM 29.30%32.3%2026-04-24 03:45