La escuela de los momios

Viborg FF v FC Nordsjaelland

Inicio: 2026-04-26 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Viborg FF (Local)

Predicción 40.52%2.47momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.44%40.60%40.49%42.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.242.252.4048.08%44.56%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Nordsjaelland (Visitante)

Predicción 33.42%2.99momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.479%
Kelly -0.724%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.50%33.38%33.29%34.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.752.9540.00%36.33%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.06%3.84momio equitativo
EV +1.63%
Ventaja +0.417%
Kelly +0.560%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.57%26.02%26.22%27.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.563.543.9032.26%28.11%28.21%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -7.61%E -3.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -1.41%E -0.479%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV +1.63%E +0.417%K +0.560%G +0.009%3.4%2026-04-16 16:05
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -7.61%E -3.34%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -1.41%E -0.479%K -0.724%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV +1.63%E +0.417%K +0.560%G +0.009%3.4%2026-04-16 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.980%E -0.258%K -0.350%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:05
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.980%E -0.258%K -0.350%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:05
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.980%E -0.258%K -0.350%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:05
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.980%E -0.258%K -0.350%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:05
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.63%E -4.32%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.980%E -0.258%K -0.350%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:09
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -0.980%E -0.258%K -0.350%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 20:43
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.28%E -0.609%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 20:59
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.28%E -0.609%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 16:05
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.28%E -0.609%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 16:05
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -2.28%E -0.609%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 16:05
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -2.28%E -0.609%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 16:10
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.59%E -0.969%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 20:58
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.59%E -0.969%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -11.66%E -5.35%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -3.59%E -0.969%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 16:10
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.59%E -0.969%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 20:44
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -10.85%E -4.93%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.59%E -0.969%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 20:44
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -12.88%E -5.99%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -4.89%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-16 16:05
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.52%EV -14.09%E -6.65%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.78%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -4.89%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-16 16:05
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.44%EV -2.75%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.55%EV -8.43%E -3.08%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.01%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 16:19
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 40.73%EV -5.18%E -2.21%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.40%EV -5.93%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:30
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -3.56%E -1.49%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:10
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 19:15
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 17:19
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 20:59
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:19
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.18%EV -15.71%E -7.55%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-16 16:05
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.55%EV -6.39%E -2.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.98%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.46%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 01:10
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.72%EV -7.20%E -3.15%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -5.42%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 23:25
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:10
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:19
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -4.77%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:34
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:19
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 19:24
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.10%E -2.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 19:14
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.12%EV -12.88%E -5.99%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -12.11%E -4.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 16:04
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -5.99%E -2.58%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.82%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:40
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -5.99%E -2.58%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.82%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:39
Suprabets2.26I 44.25%NM 40.57%EV -8.42%E -3.72%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.86%EV -6.76%E -2.42%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:22
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 19:10
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 19:09
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.11%E -4.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.11%E -4.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 19:14
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.44%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.44%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 19:15
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.88%E -5.99%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 16:19
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.97%EV -12.88%E -5.99%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -16.45%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.65%EV -12.71%E -3.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 19:09
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:14
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:14
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:14
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.80%E -2.96%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.43%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:19
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.92%EV -14.90%E -7.10%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.05%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.04%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 19:15
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.15%EV -12.88%E -5.99%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.46%EV -13.78%E -5.34%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.40%EV -14.79%E -4.52%K -6.52%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 19:14
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.37%EV -14.09%E -6.65%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.30%EV -14.11%E -5.49%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-24 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.24%EV -14.90%E -7.10%K -13.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.50%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.26%EV -19.22%E -6.20%K -9.15%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-22 20:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 39.92%2.66I 37.59%NM 33.92%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%10.8%2026-04-23 21:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 36.77%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.35%16.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 36.77%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.35%16.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 44.46%2.88I 34.72%NM 26.24%2.58I 38.76%NM 29.30%32.3%2026-04-24 03:45