Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SonderjyskE v FC Midtjylland

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 18:00 UTC

Final: SonderjyskE 1–2 FC Midtjylland

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SonderjyskE (Local)

Prediction 17.25%5.80fair odd
EV +4.87%
Edge +0.802%
Kelly +0.959%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 6.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.45%17.36%17.07%20.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.335.406.0821.74%18.77%18.52%16.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Midtjylland (Visit)

Prediction 62.37%1.60fair odd
EV +4.78%
Edge +2.84%
Kelly +7.03%
Growth +0.336%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.18%62.10%62.59%64.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.491.491.6872.46%67.23%67.11%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.38%4.91fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.405%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.63%20.55%20.34%23.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.054.444.404.8324.69%22.54%22.73%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SonderjyskE (Local): 17.25%; FC Midtjylland (Visit): 62.37%; Draw: 20.38%. For SonderjyskE (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.80. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -20.65%E -4.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.18%EV +4.78%E +2.84%K +7.03%G +0.336%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -17.45%E -4.31%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 02:30
GTbets🎯5.47I 18.28%NM 17.62%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.38%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 17:44
Svenska Spel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.22%EV -3.41%E -0.608%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.82%EV -2.71%E -1.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.22%EV -3.41%E -0.608%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.82%EV -2.71%E -1.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 17:39
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.31%EV -3.95%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:00
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -20.65%E -4.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -20.65%E -4.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -20.65%E -4.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 17:00
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -20.65%E -4.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.62%EV -5.82%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:39
BetRivers🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.62%EV -5.82%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:39
Casumo🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.62%EV -5.82%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.62%EV -5.82%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:39
betPARX🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.62%EV -5.82%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:40
Pinnacle🎯6.08I 16.45%NM 15.84%EV +4.87%E +0.802%K +0.959%G +0.047%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.21%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.94%EV -1.55%E -0.321%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 17:45
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.818%E -0.142%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:49
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.44%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:35
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:40
Grosvenor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:39
LeoVegas🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -11.34%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 17:39
TABtouch🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -11.34%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 17:39
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:45
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:47
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:44
NordicBet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -0.818%E -0.142%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -7.07%E -4.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV -8.58%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -7.07%E -4.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -11.34%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 17:40
BetUS🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.63%EV -10.30%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.53%EV -7.07%E -4.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV +1.77%E +0.300%K +0.361%G +0.006%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV +1.77%E +0.300%K +0.361%G +0.006%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 17:44
BetAnything🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV +1.77%E +0.300%K +0.361%G +0.006%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 17:45
1xBet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -0.818%E -0.142%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -0.818%E -0.142%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:50
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 17:43
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:54
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.48%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.58%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -9.44%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.50%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -12.36%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 17:40
Suprabets🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV +0.045%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.32%E -5.66%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:48
Marathon Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.818%E -0.142%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -8.32%E -5.66%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -8.32%E -5.66%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:49
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -8.94%E -6.12%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.29%EV -10.30%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.57%EV -8.94%E -6.12%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -13.37%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 17:40
Everygame🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -0.818%E -0.142%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -9.57%E -6.60%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 17:49
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -9.57%E -6.60%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:43
PlayUp🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -9.44%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.13%EV -9.57%E -6.60%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -11.34%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 17:54
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:50
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:35
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 17:54
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -9.44%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -15.48%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.75%EV -13.37%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.75%EV -18.93%E -4.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.21%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 17:34
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -18.07%E -3.80%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 17:49
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +3.49%E +0.582%K +0.699%G +0.024%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -10.81%E -7.56%K -25.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -4.20%E -0.894%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.30%EV -12.03%E -2.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.70%EV -10.81%E -7.56%K -25.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 17.66%EV -14.62%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.01%EV -12.06%E -8.55%K -29.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -12.36%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.32%EV -13.93%E -10.10%K -36.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.48%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-04-23 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-04-23 17:50
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-04-23 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-04-23 17:55
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03%1.9%2026-04-23 17:45