Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SonderjyskE v FC Midtjylland

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 18:00 UTC

Score final : SonderjyskE 1–2 FC Midtjylland

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SonderjyskE (Local)

Prévision 17.25%5.80cote équitable
EV +4.87%
Avantage +0.802%
Kelly +0.959%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 6.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.45%17.36%17.07%20.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.335.406.0821.74%18.77%18.52%16.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Midtjylland (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.37%1.60cote équitable
EV +4.78%
Avantage +2.84%
Kelly +7.03%
Croissance +0.336%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.18%62.10%62.59%64.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.491.491.6872.46%67.23%67.11%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.38%4.91cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.321%
Kelly -0.405%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.63%20.55%20.34%23.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.054.444.404.8324.69%22.54%22.73%20.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SonderjyskE (Local) : 17.25% ; FC Midtjylland (Visiteur) : 62.37% ; Match nul : 20.38%. Pour SonderjyskE (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.80. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.08, soit une espérance positive de +4.87%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -20.65%E -4.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.18%EV +4.78%E +2.84%K +7.03%G +0.336%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -17.45%E -4.31%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 02:30
GTbets🎯5.47I 18.28%NM 17.62%EV -5.65%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.38%EV -2.08%E -1.33%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -6.44%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 17:44
Svenska Spel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.22%EV -3.41%E -0.608%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.82%EV -2.71%E -1.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.22%EV -3.41%E -0.608%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.82%EV -2.71%E -1.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 17:39
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.31%EV -3.95%E -2.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:00
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -20.65%E -4.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -20.65%E -4.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -20.65%E -4.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 17:00
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -20.65%E -4.49%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -4.58%E -2.99%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.62%EV -5.82%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:39
BetRivers🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.62%EV -5.82%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:39
Casumo🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.62%EV -5.82%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.62%EV -5.82%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:39
betPARX🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.62%EV -5.82%E -3.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:40
Pinnacle🎯6.08I 16.45%NM 15.84%EV +4.87%E +0.802%K +0.959%G +0.047%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.21%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.94%EV -1.55%E -0.321%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 17:45
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.818%E -0.142%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 17:49
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.44%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:35
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:40
Grosvenor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:39
LeoVegas🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -11.34%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 17:39
TABtouch🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.12%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.63%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -11.34%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 17:39
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:45
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:47
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.45%E -4.30%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:44
NordicBet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -0.818%E -0.142%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -7.07%E -4.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV -8.58%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.59%EV -7.07%E -4.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.10%EV -11.34%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 17:40
BetUS🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.63%EV -10.30%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.53%EV -7.07%E -4.75%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV +1.77%E +0.300%K +0.361%G +0.006%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV +1.77%E +0.300%K +0.361%G +0.006%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 17:44
BetAnything🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV +1.77%E +0.300%K +0.361%G +0.006%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 17:45
1xBet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -0.818%E -0.142%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -0.818%E -0.142%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 17:50
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 17:43
Bovada🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.86%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:54
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.48%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.58%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -9.44%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.50%EV -7.69%E -5.20%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -12.36%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 17:40
Suprabets🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV +0.045%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.32%E -5.66%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 17:48
Marathon Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.818%E -0.142%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.48%EV -8.32%E -5.66%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -8.32%E -5.66%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.18%E -0.670%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:49
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -8.94%E -6.12%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.29%EV -10.30%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.57%EV -8.94%E -6.12%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -13.37%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 17:40
Everygame🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -0.818%E -0.142%K -0.172%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -9.57%E -6.60%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -6.24%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 17:49
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -9.57%E -6.60%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 17:43
PlayUp🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -9.44%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.13%EV -9.57%E -6.60%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.71%EV -11.34%E -2.61%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 17:54
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:50
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.28%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 17:35
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -5.13%E -0.933%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 17:54
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -9.44%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -15.48%E -3.16%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.75%EV -13.37%E -3.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.75%EV -18.93%E -4.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.21%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -10.32%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 17:34
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -18.07%E -3.80%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -10.19%E -7.08%K -23.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -11.74%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 17:49
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +3.49%E +0.582%K +0.699%G +0.024%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.83%EV -10.81%E -7.56%K -25.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -4.20%E -0.894%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.30%EV -12.03%E -2.36%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.70%EV -10.81%E -7.56%K -25.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 17.66%EV -14.62%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.01%EV -12.06%E -8.55%K -29.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -12.36%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.32%EV -13.93%E -10.10%K -36.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.48%EV -14.39%E -3.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 17:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-04-23 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-04-23 17:50
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-04-23 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-04-23 17:55
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.14%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03%1.9%2026-04-23 17:45