Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Silkeborg IF v FC Fredericia

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 12:00 UTC

Final: Silkeborg IF 2–2 FC Fredericia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Silkeborg IF (Local)

Prediction 45.77%2.19fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.88%45.72%45.81%46.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.012.002.1053.19%49.68%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Fredericia (Visit)

Prediction 29.51%3.39fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.523%
Kelly -0.748%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.25%29.53%29.46%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.123.103.3335.71%32.07%32.26%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.73%4.04fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.364%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.76%24.75%24.73%26.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.703.704.0031.25%27.01%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Silkeborg IF (Local): 45.77%; FC Fredericia (Visit): 29.51%; Draw: 24.73%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%EV -2.63%E -0.796%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -2.33%E -0.589%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%EV -2.63%E -0.796%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -2.33%E -0.589%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.04%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -1.74%E -0.523%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.92%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 11:45
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.64%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.12%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 11:45
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 11:45
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 11:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.27%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -4.99%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -10.49%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.09%E -0.273%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 08:45
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:50
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 10:49
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:35
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 09:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 11:30
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -6.64%E -3.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -6.64%E -3.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:35
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -6.64%E -3.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:35
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -6.64%E -3.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:35
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -6.64%E -3.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:35
Suprabets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.87%EV -6.64%E -3.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -4.69%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.16%EV -8.02%E -2.15%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 11:51
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.02%EV -7.55%E -3.74%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:35
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.02%EV -7.55%E -3.74%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:35
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -7.55%E -3.74%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 11:45
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.63%E -0.796%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.13%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 09:28
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -3.56%E -0.914%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 08:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.56%E -0.914%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 08:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:20
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:20
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:20
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 19:48
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 08:44
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:10
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:49
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:50
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:50
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 08:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 05:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 11:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 09:05
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 09:05
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -9.84%E -5.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.76%E -5.52%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 11:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.29%EV -11.21%E -5.78%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -14.43%E -4.98%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 05:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.53%EV -11.67%E -6.05%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.58%EV -12.37%E -4.16%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.89%EV -12.71%E -3.60%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 11:34
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.27%EV -12.59%E -6.59%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -15.02%E -5.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-19 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 43.88%EV -12.59%E -6.59%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.93%EV -17.38%E -6.21%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.19%EV -20.87%E -6.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-19 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.11%EV -13.04%E -6.87%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 11:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.40%EV -13.50%E -7.14%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 11:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.66%EV -13.96%E -7.43%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.10%EV -12.96%E -4.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -15.93%E -4.68%K -6.64%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-19 11:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-19 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-19 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-19 11:10
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-19 11:15
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-19 11:45