La escuela de los momios

Silkeborg IF v FC Fredericia

Inicio: 2026-04-19 12:00 UTC

Final: Silkeborg IF 2–2 FC Fredericia

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Silkeborg IF (Local)

Predicción 45.77%2.19momio equitativo
EV -3.89%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -3.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.88%45.72%45.81%46.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.012.002.1053.19%49.68%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Fredericia (Visitante)

Predicción 29.51%3.39momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.523%
Kelly -0.748%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.25%29.53%29.46%30.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.103.3335.71%32.07%32.26%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.73%4.04momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.273%
Kelly -0.364%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.76%24.75%24.73%26.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.703.704.0031.25%27.01%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%EV -2.63%E -0.796%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -2.33%E -0.589%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 11:20
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.13%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.35%EV -2.63%E -0.796%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -2.33%E -0.589%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.04%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -1.74%E -0.523%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.92%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 11:45
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.64%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.12%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 11:45
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 11:45
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 11:45
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.27%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -4.99%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -10.49%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.09%E -0.273%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 08:45
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 10:49
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 08:40
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:35
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:35
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 09:05
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 11:30
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 11:30
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 11:30
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -6.64%E -3.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:35
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -6.64%E -3.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:35
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -6.64%E -3.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:35
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -6.64%E -3.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:35
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.14%EV -6.64%E -3.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.80%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:35
Suprabets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.87%EV -6.64%E -3.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -4.69%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.16%EV -8.02%E -2.15%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 11:51
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.02%EV -7.55%E -3.74%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:35
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.02%EV -7.55%E -3.74%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:35
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -7.55%E -3.74%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 11:45
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.63%E -0.796%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.13%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 09:28
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -3.56%E -0.914%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 08:45
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.56%E -0.914%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 08:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:20
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:20
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -7.05%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:20
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 19:48
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 08:44
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:10
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:49
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:50
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 11:50
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 08:39
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 05:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 11:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 09:05
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 09:05
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -9.84%E -5.00%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 11:35
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.76%E -5.52%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -10.00%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.51%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 11:35
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.29%EV -11.21%E -5.78%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -14.43%E -4.98%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 05:50
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.53%EV -11.67%E -6.05%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.58%EV -12.37%E -4.16%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.89%EV -12.71%E -3.60%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 11:34
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.27%EV -12.59%E -6.59%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -15.02%E -5.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -13.46%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-19 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.88%EV -12.59%E -6.59%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.93%EV -17.38%E -6.21%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.19%EV -20.87%E -6.52%K -9.49%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-19 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.11%EV -13.04%E -6.87%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 11:30
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.40%EV -13.50%E -7.14%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -10.98%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 11:35
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.66%EV -13.96%E -7.43%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.10%EV -12.96%E -4.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -15.93%E -4.68%K -6.64%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-19 11:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-19 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-19 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-19 11:10
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-19 11:15
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-19 11:45