Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Randers FC v Lyngby

2026-08-09 14:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Randers FC (Local)

Prediction 49.01%2.04fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -3.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.61%49.08%48.89%50.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.851.851.9859.17%54.01%54.05%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lyngby (Visit)

Prediction 25.41%3.93fair odd
EV -0.888%
Edge -0.228%
Kelly -0.306%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.69%25.34%25.44%26.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.333.663.603.9030.03%27.32%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.58%3.91fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -0.877%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.08%25.58%25.67%26.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.603.7830.30%27.95%27.78%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Randers FC (Local): 49.01%; Lyngby (Visit): 25.41%; Draw: 25.58%. For Lyngby (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.90, with an expected value of -0.888%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -2.96%E -1.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -9.78%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.64%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 19:55
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -2.96%E -1.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -9.78%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.64%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 19:54
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 48.78%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -7.24%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.16%EV -3.32%E -0.877%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:04
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:05
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.60%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 19:04
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.30%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.38%EV -6.23%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 19:09
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -0.888%E -0.228%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:50
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.97%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 19:05
Suprabets1.88I 53.19%NM 48.83%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.08%EV -10.55%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.08%EV -6.38%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 19:04
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -0.888%E -0.228%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:50
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.43%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 19:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.48%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 18:39
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.48%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 18:39
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.48%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 18:39
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.48%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 18:39
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.78%EV -9.82%E -5.34%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -4.70%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.65%EV -9.82%E -5.34%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.33%EV -15.37%E -4.62%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.02%EV -13.80%E -4.10%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-02 19:54
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -10.31%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -0.888%E -0.228%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -10.31%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -0.888%E -0.228%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 18:50
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -10.31%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -0.888%E -0.228%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 18:49
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -10.31%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -4.70%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 18:49
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -10.80%E -5.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -3.43%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 18:54
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.78%E -6.55%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -4.70%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 18:53
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -14.23%E -8.13%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.59%E -4.73%K -6.78%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-02 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.49%EV -14.72%E -8.46%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.48%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.07%EV -15.70%E -9.13%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.33%EV -13.04%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-02 18:49
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 50.47%EV -17.17%E -10.16%K -24.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.69%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -15.59%E -4.73%K -6.78%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-02 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%13.7%2026-08-02 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 42.75%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.17%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.08%18.7%2026-08-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 42.75%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.17%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.08%18.7%2026-08-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 42.75%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.17%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.08%18.7%2026-08-02 19:55