Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Randers FC v Lyngby

2026-08-09 14:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Frente a frente

29 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Randers FC (Local)

Previsão 49.01%2.04odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -1.50%
Kelly -3.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.61%49.08%48.89%50.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.691.851.851.9859.17%54.01%54.05%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lyngby (Visitante)

Previsão 25.41%3.93odd justa
EV -0.888%
Vantagem -0.228%
Kelly -0.306%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.69%25.34%25.44%26.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.333.663.603.9030.03%27.32%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.58%3.91odd justa
EV -3.32%
Vantagem -0.877%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.08%25.58%25.67%26.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.583.603.7830.30%27.95%27.78%26.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Randers FC (Local): 49.01%; Lyngby (Visitante): 25.41%; Empate: 25.58%. Para Lyngby (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.93. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.90, com valor esperado de -0.888%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (29 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -2.96%E -1.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -9.78%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.64%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 19:55
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -2.96%E -1.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -9.78%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.64%E -1.82%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 19:54
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 48.78%EV -4.43%E -2.27%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -7.24%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.16%EV -3.32%E -0.877%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:04
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 20:05
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.39%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.60%E -4.00%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 19:04
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.30%EV -6.88%E -3.62%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.38%EV -6.23%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 19:09
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -0.888%E -0.228%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:50
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.97%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 19:05
Suprabets1.88I 53.19%NM 48.83%EV -7.86%E -4.18%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.08%EV -10.55%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.08%EV -6.38%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 19:04
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.35%E -4.47%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -0.888%E -0.228%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 18:50
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.43%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 19:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.48%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 18:39
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.48%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 18:39
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.48%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 18:39
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.33%E -5.05%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.48%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 18:39
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.78%EV -9.82%E -5.34%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -4.70%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.20%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.65%EV -9.82%E -5.34%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.33%EV -15.37%E -4.62%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.02%EV -13.80%E -4.10%K -5.82%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-02 19:54
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -10.31%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -0.888%E -0.228%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.36%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -10.31%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -0.888%E -0.228%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 18:50
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -10.31%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -0.888%E -0.228%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 18:49
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -10.31%E -5.64%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -4.70%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 18:49
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -10.80%E -5.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -3.43%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 18:54
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.78%E -6.55%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -4.70%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.92%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 18:53
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -14.23%E -8.13%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.59%E -4.73%K -6.78%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-02 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.49%EV -14.72%E -8.46%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.48%E -2.99%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.07%EV -15.70%E -9.13%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -11.05%E -3.16%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.33%EV -13.04%E -3.83%K -5.43%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-02 18:49
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 50.47%EV -17.17%E -10.16%K -24.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.69%EV -8.51%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.84%EV -15.59%E -4.73%K -6.78%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-02 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%13.7%2026-08-02 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 42.75%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.17%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.08%18.7%2026-08-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 42.75%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.17%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.08%18.7%2026-08-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 42.75%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.17%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.08%18.7%2026-08-02 19:55