The School of Odds

Lyngby v AGF Aarhus

2026-08-01 16:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Lyngby (Local)

Prediction 24.43%4.09fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.49%24.36%25.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.723.753.9030.30%26.85%26.67%25.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

AGF Aarhus (Visit)

Prediction 50.06%2.00fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.34%49.93%50.22%50.94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.681.831.831.9559.52%54.79%54.64%51.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.52%3.92fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.43%25.58%25.41%26.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.603.8030.30%28.00%27.78%26.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 10:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 10:55
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.39%E -4.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 10:34
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.90%E -5.50%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 11:34
betano_uk3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.90%E -5.50%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 11:35
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.10%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 11:31
1xBet3.83I 26.11%NM 24.46%EV -6.44%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.09%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -6.10%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 11:35
GTbets3.81I 26.25%NM 24.75%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.16%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.08%EV -4.06%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 10:35
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.39%E -4.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 12:50
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.39%E -4.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 12:50
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -8.89%E -4.89%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 10:46
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 10:55
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -8.89%E -4.89%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 10:35
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -8.39%E -4.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 10:35
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.90%E -5.50%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 10:45
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 11:35
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 11:36
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.39%E -4.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 10:35
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 11:35
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 11:35
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 11:35
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 11:34
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -10.84%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 11:30
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -10.84%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 11:30
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -12.06%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 11:30
Betclic (FR)3.53I 28.33%NM 24.39%EV -13.77%E -3.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.65%EV -14.90%E -8.77%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.96%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-26 10:45
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -14.51%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -12.40%E -7.09%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-26 10:40
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -14.51%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -12.40%E -7.09%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.80%E -4.79%K -6.87%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-26 10:35
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%EV -15.73%E -4.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.43%EV -13.90%E -8.08%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.43%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-26 10:45
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 24.58%EV -15.73%E -4.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 50.48%EV -15.90%E -9.47%K -23.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.94%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-26 10:45
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.41%EV -19.39%E -5.88%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 49.92%EV -15.90%E -9.47%K -23.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.67%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-26 10:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%13.2%2026-07-26 10:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 36.53%1.87I 53.48%NM 25.79%1.28I 78.13%NM 37.68%107.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 36.53%1.87I 53.48%NM 25.79%1.28I 78.13%NM 37.68%107.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 36.53%1.87I 53.48%NM 25.79%1.28I 78.13%NM 37.68%107.4%2026-07-26 11:50