L’École des cotes

Lyngby v AGF Aarhus

2026-08-01 16:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lyngby (Local)

Prévision 24.43%4.09cote équitable
EV -4.73%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.36%24.49%24.36%25.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.723.753.9030.30%26.85%26.67%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AGF Aarhus (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.06%2.00cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.34%49.93%50.22%50.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.831.851.9559.52%54.77%54.05%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.52%3.92cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -0.800%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.43%25.58%25.41%26.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.573.603.8030.30%28.00%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 10:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 10:55
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.39%E -4.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 10:34
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.90%E -5.50%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 11:34
betano_uk3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.73%E -1.21%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -9.90%E -5.50%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 11:35
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -6.20%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -6.10%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 11:31
1xBet3.83I 26.11%NM 24.46%EV -6.44%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.09%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -6.10%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 11:35
GTbets3.81I 26.25%NM 24.75%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.16%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.08%EV -4.06%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 10:35
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 13:20
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.39%E -4.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 12:50
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -8.89%E -4.89%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 10:46
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -6.39%E -3.42%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 10:55
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -8.89%E -4.89%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 10:35
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -8.39%E -4.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 10:35
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.90%E -5.50%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 10:45
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 11:35
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -5.89%E -3.13%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.59%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 11:36
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.39%E -4.59%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 10:35
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 11:35
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 11:35
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 11:35
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.40%E -2.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 11:34
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -10.84%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 11:30
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -10.84%E -2.97%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -2.39%E -1.22%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 11:30
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -12.06%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.39%E -4.00%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 11:30
Betclic (FR)3.53I 28.33%NM 24.39%EV -13.77%E -3.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.65%EV -14.90%E -8.77%K -21.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.96%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-26 10:45
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -14.51%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -12.40%E -7.09%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-26 10:40
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -14.51%E -4.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -12.40%E -7.09%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.80%E -4.79%K -6.87%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-26 10:35
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%EV -15.73%E -4.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.43%EV -13.90%E -8.08%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.43%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-26 10:45
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 24.58%EV -15.73%E -4.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 50.48%EV -15.90%E -9.47%K -23.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.94%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-26 10:45
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.41%EV -19.39%E -5.88%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 49.92%EV -15.90%E -9.47%K -23.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.67%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-26 10:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.21%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%13.2%2026-07-26 10:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 36.53%1.87I 53.48%NM 25.79%1.28I 78.13%NM 37.68%107.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 36.53%1.87I 53.48%NM 25.79%1.28I 78.13%NM 37.68%107.4%2026-07-26 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 36.53%1.87I 53.48%NM 25.79%1.28I 78.13%NM 37.68%107.4%2026-07-26 11:50