The School of Odds

FC Midtjylland v AC Horsens

2026-08-02 12:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Prediction 68.16%1.47fair odd
EV -7.31%
Edge -5.37%
Kelly -20.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.87%68.23%68.03%69.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.281.341.351.3678.13%74.87%74.07%73.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

AC Horsens (Visit)

Prediction 12.83%7.80fair odd
EV +5.18%
Edge +0.631%
Kelly +0.719%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 8.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.47%12.85%12.90%14.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.007.097.008.2016.67%14.10%14.29%12.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 19.02%5.26fair odd
EV -0.164%
Edge -0.031%
Kelly -0.039%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.85%18.91%19.07%20.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.154.804.805.2524.10%20.83%20.83%19.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.14%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV +5.18%E +0.631%K +0.719%G +0.037%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.39%EV -7.77%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 12:50
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.14%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.47%EV +5.18%E +0.631%K +0.719%G +0.037%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.39%EV -7.77%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 12:50
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.86%EV -7.99%E -5.92%K -22.82%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -0.595%E -0.077%K -0.088%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.164%E -0.031%K -0.039%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 10:40
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -3.80%E -0.507%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 12:05
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -3.80%E -0.507%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -1.11%E -0.214%K -0.265%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -7.99%E -5.92%K -22.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -3.80%E -0.507%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 12:45
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -3.80%E -0.507%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 10:35
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -3.80%E -0.507%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.82%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 12:30
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.16%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.53%EV -5.08%E -0.687%K -0.794%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -8.72%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 10:55
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.90%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 12.73%EV -5.60%E -0.761%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -3.02%E -0.591%K -0.736%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 12:50
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 69.56%EV -10.71%E -8.18%K -34.56%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -7.01%E -0.967%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -3.02%E -0.591%K -0.736%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 10:35
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.58%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -7.65%E -1.06%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -3.97%E -0.786%K -0.980%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 13:14
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.99%E -5.92%K -22.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -10.21%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:25
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -10.21%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 12:50
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -10.21%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 12:50
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -10.21%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -10.21%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 12:50
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.40%E -8.77%K -37.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.21%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -4.92%E -0.984%K -1.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 10:45
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 66.87%EV -12.08%E -9.36%K -41.65%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.07%EV -15.35%E -2.33%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.06%EV -18.23%E -4.24%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-26 10:50
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -7.31%E -5.37%K -20.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -16.63%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 11:35
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.63%E -2.56%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -9.67%E -2.04%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 66.29%EV -12.76%E -9.97%K -45.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.26%EV -17.91%E -2.80%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.45%EV -21.08%E -5.08%K -6.69%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-26 10:50
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 66.81%EV -11.40%E -8.77%K -37.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.90%EV -19.83%E -3.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -14.43%E -3.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-26 10:39
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.81%EV -11.40%E -8.77%K -37.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.90%EV -19.83%E -3.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -14.43%E -3.21%K -4.12%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-26 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 65.87%EV -12.76%E -9.97%K -45.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.05%EV -23.04%E -3.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.08%EV -20.13%E -4.79%K -6.29%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-26 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 67.10%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%13.8%2026-07-26 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 10:45