L’École des cotes

FC Midtjylland v AC Horsens

2026-08-02 12:00 UTC — Denmark Superliga

Résultat du match

25 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Midtjylland (Local)

Prévision 68.19%1.47cote équitable
EV -5.90%
Avantage -4.28%
Kelly -15.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.87%68.19%68.25%69.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.341.351.3878.13%74.81%74.07%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AC Horsens (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.77%7.83cote équitable
EV +4.75%
Avantage +0.579%
Kelly +0.660%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 8.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.49%12.82%12.61%14.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.107.008.2016.67%14.08%14.29%12.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.04%5.25cote équitable
EV -0.040%
Avantage -0.008%
Kelly -0.009%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.85%18.99%19.14%20.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.154.794.755.2524.10%20.89%21.05%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.26%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.49%EV +4.75%E +0.579%K +0.660%G +0.031%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.26%EV -11.46%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 13:55
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.26%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.54%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.49%EV +4.75%E +0.579%K +0.660%G +0.031%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.26%EV -11.46%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 13:55
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.86%EV -7.95%E -5.89%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -0.998%E -0.129%K -0.148%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.040%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 10:40
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -4.19%E -0.559%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.80%E -0.960%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 12:05
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -9.31%E -7.00%K -28.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -4.19%E -0.559%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -0.992%E -0.191%K -0.236%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -7.95%E -5.89%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.19%E -0.559%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.56%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 12:45
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.31%E -7.00%K -28.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -4.19%E -0.559%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.80%E -0.960%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 10:35
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.31%E -7.00%K -28.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -4.19%E -0.559%K -0.645%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.70%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 12:30
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.10%EV -7.95%E -5.89%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -5.47%E -0.739%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -2.90%E -0.568%K -0.706%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 13:50
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.16%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.53%EV -5.47%E -0.739%K -0.855%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -8.61%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 10:55
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.90%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 12.73%EV -5.98%E -0.813%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.90%E -0.568%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 13:50
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 69.56%EV -10.68%E -8.15%K -34.44%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -7.39%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -2.90%E -0.568%K -0.706%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 10:35
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.95%E -5.89%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -10.58%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.80%E -0.960%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:25
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -10.58%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.56%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 13:50
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -10.58%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.56%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 13:50
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -10.58%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.56%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 13:50
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -10.58%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.56%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 13:50
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.36%E -8.74%K -37.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -10.58%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -4.80%E -0.960%K -1.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 10:45
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 66.87%EV -12.04%E -9.33%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.07%EV -15.69%E -2.38%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.06%EV -18.13%E -4.22%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-26 10:50
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -16.97%E -2.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.56%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 11:35
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -9.31%E -7.00%K -28.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -16.97%E -2.61%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -9.56%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 66.29%EV -12.72%E -9.94%K -45.44%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.26%EV -18.24%E -2.85%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.45%EV -20.98%E -5.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-26 10:50
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 66.81%EV -11.36%E -8.74%K -37.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.90%EV -20.16%E -3.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -14.32%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-26 10:39
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.81%EV -11.36%E -8.74%K -37.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.90%EV -20.16%E -3.23%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -14.32%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-26 10:50
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 65.87%EV -12.72%E -9.94%K -45.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.05%EV -23.35%E -3.89%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.08%EV -20.03%E -4.77%K -6.26%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-26 10:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 67.10%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.93%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%13.8%2026-07-26 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 33.11%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.44%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.44%196.1%2026-07-26 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 33.11%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.44%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.44%196.1%2026-07-26 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 33.11%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.44%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.44%196.1%2026-07-26 13:25