Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Fredericia v Silkeborg IF

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Fredericia 4–1 Silkeborg IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Fredericia (Local)

Prediction 44.68%2.24fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.67%44.60%44.72%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.072.082.1854.05%48.33%48.19%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Silkeborg IF (Visit)

Prediction 31.17%3.21fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.40%31.20%31.20%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.932.953.1037.04%34.09%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.15%4.14fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.244%
Kelly -0.323%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.19%24.21%24.08%26.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.803.804.1031.25%26.33%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Fredericia (Local): 44.68%; Silkeborg IF (Visit): 31.17%; Draw: 24.15%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -1.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -1.00%E -0.244%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 07:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -1.00%E -0.244%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 07:50
GTbets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.66%EV -3.48%E -1.61%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -7.11%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.69%EV -7.76%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 11:55
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:40
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:40
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.62%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.62%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:50
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.62%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:51
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.62%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:50
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.62%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:50
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.04%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.62%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 07:45
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:20
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 07:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:16
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:51
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.45%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 07:50
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.81%EV -6.61%E -3.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.81%EV -5.24%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.39%EV -7.28%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -6.61%E -3.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -5.24%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -8.73%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:20
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.43%EV -7.06%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:50
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.43%EV -7.06%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.92%EV -7.50%E -3.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.41%EV -1.97%E -0.484%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.42%EV -7.50%E -3.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:50
Suprabets🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.40%EV -7.95%E -3.86%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.56%EV -4.62%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.04%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 07:43
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:39
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:20
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.45%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:51
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 08:00
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:55
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:54
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.45%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:51
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -11.17%E -3.92%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:51
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 08:15
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -10.66%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 08:16
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 08:16
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -9.74%E -4.82%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.17%E -3.92%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 07:50
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:19
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -11.17%E -3.92%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.96%EV -9.93%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 08:15
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 07:51
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -15.84%E -5.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -10.66%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 08:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -22.73%E -7.10%K -10.33%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-17 07:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.45%EV -11.53%E -5.82%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 08:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.47%EV -11.97%E -6.08%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.28%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -10.66%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 07:50
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.68%EV -14.65%E -7.67%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -15.84%E -5.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-17 08:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.38%EV -17.33%E -9.37%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.43%EV -12.10%E -4.29%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.19%EV -10.66%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 08:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17%0.4%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.70%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-05-17 08:15