La escuela de los momios

FC Fredericia v Silkeborg IF

Inicio: 2026-05-17 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Fredericia 4–1 Silkeborg IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Fredericia (Local)

Predicción 44.68%2.24momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.67%44.60%44.72%46.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.072.082.1854.05%48.33%48.19%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Silkeborg IF (Visitante)

Predicción 31.17%3.21momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.40%31.20%31.20%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.932.953.1037.04%34.09%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.15%4.14momio equitativo
EV -1.00%
Ventaja -0.244%
Kelly -0.323%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.19%24.21%24.08%26.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.803.804.1031.25%26.33%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -1.00%E -0.244%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 07:51
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -1.00%E -0.244%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 07:50
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 43.66%EV -3.48%E -1.61%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -7.11%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.69%EV -7.76%E -2.03%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 11:55
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:40
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:40
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:40
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:40
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 08:20
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.62%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.62%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:50
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.62%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:51
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.62%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:50
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.34%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -4.62%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 07:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.04%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.62%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 07:45
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:20
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 07:55
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:05
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:16
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:51
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:51
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.45%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 08:20
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.16%E -2.94%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 07:50
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.81%EV -6.61%E -3.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.81%EV -5.24%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.39%EV -7.28%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -6.61%E -3.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -5.24%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -8.73%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:20
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.43%EV -7.06%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:50
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.43%EV -7.06%E -3.39%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 45.92%EV -7.50%E -3.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.41%EV -1.97%E -0.484%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.42%EV -7.50%E -3.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:50
Suprabets2.06I 48.54%NM 45.40%EV -7.95%E -3.86%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.56%EV -4.62%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.04%EV -6.07%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 07:43
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:39
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:20
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.45%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:51
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 08:00
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:55
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 07:54
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -8.05%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.45%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 07:51
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -11.17%E -3.92%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 07:51
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 08:15
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -10.66%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 08:16
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 08:16
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.64%EV -9.74%E -4.82%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.64%EV -11.17%E -3.92%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 07:50
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:19
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -9.61%E -3.31%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -11.17%E -3.92%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.96%EV -9.93%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 08:15
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 07:51
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -15.84%E -5.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -10.66%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 08:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -10.63%E -5.32%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -22.73%E -7.10%K -10.33%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-17 07:54
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.45%EV -11.53%E -5.82%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 08:15
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.47%EV -11.97%E -6.08%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.28%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -10.66%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 07:50
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 44.68%EV -14.65%E -7.67%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -15.84%E -5.87%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-17 08:20
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.38%EV -17.33%E -9.37%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.43%EV -12.10%E -4.29%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.19%EV -10.66%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-17 08:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.17%0.4%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-17 08:20
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.70%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-05-17 08:15