Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brondby IF v SonderjyskE

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 17:02 UTC

Final: Brondby IF 6–0 SonderjyskE

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brondby IF (Local)

Prediction 51.14%1.96fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.35%51.24%51.19%52.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.811.801.9359.17%55.18%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SonderjyskE (Visit)

Prediction 24.14%4.14fair odd
EV +4.05%
Edge +0.940%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.050%

assuming max odds 4.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.90%23.99%24.21%25.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.813.804.3128.57%26.22%26.32%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.72%4.04fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.278%
Kelly -0.370%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.74%24.77%24.60%26.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.713.704.0029.41%26.95%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brondby IF (Local): 51.14%; SonderjyskE (Visit): 24.14%; Draw: 24.72%. For SonderjyskE (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.19%EV -5.40%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.40%EV +4.05%E +0.940%K +1.22%G +0.050%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +3.81%E +0.886%K +1.15%G +0.044%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +3.81%E +0.886%K +1.15%G +0.044%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.02%E -0.249%K -0.329%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 16:59
Suprabets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.41%EV -6.93%E -3.81%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -1.02%E -0.249%K -0.329%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:59
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.93%E -3.81%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.59%EV -2.71%E -0.672%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.19%EV -2.84%E -0.723%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.43%E -0.858%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.43%E -0.858%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -1.31%E -0.677%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -3.58%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-17 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -1.31%E -0.677%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -3.58%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-17 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -3.86%E -2.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -3.86%E -2.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 17:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 16:59
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 16:59
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.49%E -5.36%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 16:59
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.49%E -5.36%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 17:00
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.49%E -5.36%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -10.51%E -6.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:00
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.02%EV -3.35%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.43%EV -6.57%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 16:59
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.40%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -7.05%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.11%E -0.278%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.05%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.58%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.40%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -6.93%E -3.81%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.58%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 16:59
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.40%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.51%E -6.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -4.38%E -2.34%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 17:00
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -4.38%E -2.34%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -4.38%E -2.34%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 17:00
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -3.86%E -2.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -2.35%E -0.594%K -0.795%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.03%EV -4.89%E -2.63%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:59
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:59
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -15.94%E -4.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 17:00
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.51%E -6.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.40%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.68%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -10.68%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -10.68%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -10.00%E -5.68%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.68%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -11.88%E -3.26%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -7.44%E -4.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -11.88%E -3.26%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.92%EV -13.58%E -8.04%K -19.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.88%E -3.26%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-17 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.32%EV -12.56%E -7.34%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%EV -11.49%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-17 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -8.47%E -4.73%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-17 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 17:00
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 16:59
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -13.07%E -7.69%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-17 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -10.51%E -6.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -15.50%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.95%EV -12.05%E -7.00%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -15.50%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-04-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-04-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-04-17 17:00
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.99%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%2.3%2026-04-17 17:00