Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Brondby IF v SonderjyskE

Inicio: 2026-04-17 17:02 UTC

Final: Brondby IF 6–0 SonderjyskE

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Brondby IF (Local)

Predicción 51.14%1.96momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.677%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.35%51.24%51.19%52.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.691.811.801.9359.17%55.18%55.56%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SonderjyskE (Visitante)

Predicción 24.14%4.14momio equitativo
EV +4.05%
Ventaja +0.940%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.050%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.90%23.99%24.21%25.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.813.804.3128.57%26.22%26.32%23.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.72%4.04momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.278%
Kelly -0.370%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.74%24.77%24.60%26.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.713.704.0029.41%26.95%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Brondby IF (Local): 51.14%; SonderjyskE (Visitante): 24.14%; Empate: 24.72%. Para SonderjyskE (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.14. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.31, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.05%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.19%EV -5.40%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.40%EV +4.05%E +0.940%K +1.22%G +0.050%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +3.81%E +0.886%K +1.15%G +0.044%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +3.81%E +0.886%K +1.15%G +0.044%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.02%E -0.249%K -0.329%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 16:59
Suprabets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.41%EV -6.93%E -3.81%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -1.02%E -0.249%K -0.329%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.77%EV -10.26%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:59
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -6.93%E -3.81%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.59%EV -2.71%E -0.672%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.19%EV -2.84%E -0.723%K -0.970%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.43%E -0.858%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.43%E -0.858%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -1.31%E -0.677%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -3.58%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-17 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -1.31%E -0.677%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -3.58%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-17 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -3.86%E -2.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -3.86%E -2.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 17:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 16:59
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 16:59
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.49%E -5.36%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 16:59
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.49%E -5.36%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 17:00
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.49%E -5.36%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -10.51%E -6.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -5.85%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:00
GTbets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.02%EV -3.35%E -1.77%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.43%EV -6.57%E -1.70%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 16:59
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.40%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -7.05%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -1.11%E -0.278%K -0.370%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -7.05%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -3.58%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.40%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -6.93%E -3.81%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.58%E -0.919%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 16:59
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.40%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.51%E -6.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.26%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -4.38%E -2.34%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 17:00
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -4.38%E -2.34%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -4.38%E -2.34%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.82%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 17:00
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -3.86%E -2.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -2.35%E -0.594%K -0.795%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.03%EV -4.89%E -2.63%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:59
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:59
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -15.94%E -4.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 17:00
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -10.51%E -6.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.47%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.40%E -2.92%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.68%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.05%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -10.68%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.44%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -10.68%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.41%EV -10.00%E -5.68%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.68%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.42%E -3.51%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -11.88%E -3.26%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.29%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.38%EV -7.44%E -4.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -11.88%E -3.26%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.53%E -2.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.92%EV -13.58%E -8.04%K -19.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.88%E -3.26%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-17 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.32%EV -12.56%E -7.34%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.17%EV -12.37%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%EV -11.49%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-17 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -8.47%E -4.73%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-17 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 17:00
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 16:59
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.96%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.07%EV -13.07%E -7.69%K -18.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -13.09%E -3.64%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -13.47%E -3.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-17 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -10.51%E -6.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -15.50%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -11.00%E -3.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.95%EV -12.05%E -7.00%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -15.50%E -4.43%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -9.76%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-04-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-04-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-04-17 17:00
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.99%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%2.3%2026-04-17 17:00