Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brondby IF v FC Midtjylland

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 14:00 UTC

Final: Brondby IF 1–2 FC Midtjylland

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brondby IF (Local)

Prediction 28.31%3.53fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.430%
Kelly -0.603%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.24%28.27%28.34%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.233.253.4834.48%30.97%30.77%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Midtjylland (Visit)

Prediction 45.25%2.21fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.48%45.27%45.22%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.032.052.1652.63%49.19%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.45%3.78fair odd
EV -0.827%
Edge -0.220%
Kelly -0.301%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%26.46%26.44%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.483.483.7532.26%28.74%28.74%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brondby IF (Local): 28.31%; FC Midtjylland (Visit): 45.25%; Draw: 26.45%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.827%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.82%EV -1.50%E -0.430%K -0.603%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.66%EV -4.07%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV -3.47%E -0.951%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 13:30
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.93%EV -7.97%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 13:30
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -7.97%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 13:30
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.87%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%EV -2.15%E -0.581%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.87%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%EV -2.15%E -0.581%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 13:30
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 13:30
Everygame🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 13:29
Suprabets🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.63%EV -7.17%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 13:29
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -0.827%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 13:30
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 13:30
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 13:28
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 13:30
BetAnything🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 13:30
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 13:30
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 13:30
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.77%E -6.03%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 13:30
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.77%E -6.03%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 13:30
GTbets🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.49%EV -6.87%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.18%EV -8.15%E -4.01%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.15%E -0.581%K -0.796%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 07:39
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:30
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -6.34%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -6.34%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 13:00
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 13:30
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 05:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 05:50
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 13:29
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -11.41%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 13:29
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.77%E -6.03%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Bet Right🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 28.54%EV -11.40%E -3.64%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.34%EV -10.86%E -5.51%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.12%EV -9.55%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -12.22%E -6.30%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -13.58%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.02%E -5.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-12 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -13.67%E -4.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-09 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.67%E -4.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -11.77%E -6.03%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -11.41%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.22%EV -13.67%E -4.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.30%EV -14.03%E -7.38%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-12 08:58
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -15.08%E -5.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -13.58%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-12 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.76%EV -17.91%E -6.18%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.48%EV -12.22%E -6.30%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.76%EV -11.41%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-09 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-12 13:30