La escuela de los momios

Brondby IF v FC Midtjylland

Inicio: 2026-04-12 14:00 UTC

Final: Brondby IF 1–2 FC Midtjylland

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Brondby IF (Local)

Predicción 28.31%3.53momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.430%
Kelly -0.603%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.24%28.27%28.34%29.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.233.253.4834.48%30.97%30.77%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Midtjylland (Visitante)

Predicción 45.25%2.21momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.48%45.27%45.22%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.032.052.1652.63%49.19%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.45%3.78momio equitativo
EV -0.827%
Ventaja -0.220%
Kelly -0.301%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.33%26.46%26.44%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.483.483.7532.26%28.74%28.74%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.48I 28.74%NM 27.82%EV -1.50%E -0.430%K -0.603%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.66%EV -4.07%E -1.92%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV -3.47%E -0.951%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 13:30
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.93%EV -7.97%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 13:30
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 13:29
Marathon Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -7.97%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 13:30
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 13:29
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.87%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%EV -2.15%E -0.581%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 13:30
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.87%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%EV -2.15%E -0.581%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 13:30
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 13:30
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 13:29
Suprabets3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.63%EV -7.17%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 13:29
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -0.827%E -0.220%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 13:30
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 13:30
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 13:28
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 13:30
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 13:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 13:30
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 13:30
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.77%E -6.03%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 13:30
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.77%E -6.03%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 13:30
GTbets3.29I 30.40%NM 28.49%EV -6.87%E -2.09%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.18%EV -8.15%E -4.01%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -2.15%E -0.581%K -0.796%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 07:39
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:30
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.98%E -2.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-09 14:10
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 13:30
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 08:54
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 13:30
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -7.69%E -3.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -6.34%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -6.34%E -3.06%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 13:30
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.79%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 13:00
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 13:30
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -6.79%E -3.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 13:30
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 05:50
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 05:50
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 13:29
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -11.41%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 13:29
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -11.77%E -6.03%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -7.24%E -3.53%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 13:30
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -8.60%E -4.26%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Betclic (FR)3.13I 31.95%NM 28.54%EV -11.40%E -3.64%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.34%EV -10.86%E -5.51%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.12%EV -9.55%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 02:10
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 13:30
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -12.22%E -6.30%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -13.58%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.02%E -5.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-12 13:30
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -13.67%E -4.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -9.50%E -4.75%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-09 18:25
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -13.67%E -4.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -11.77%E -6.03%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -11.41%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 13:30
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.22%EV -13.67%E -4.48%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.30%EV -14.03%E -7.38%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-12 08:58
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -15.08%E -5.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -13.58%E -7.11%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.08%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-12 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.76%EV -17.91%E -6.18%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.48%EV -12.22%E -6.30%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.76%EV -11.41%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-09 18:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-04-12 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-04-12 13:30
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-12 13:30