A Escola das Odds

AGF Aarhus v FC Midtjylland

Início: 2026-04-26 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

AGF Aarhus (Local)

Previsão 38.64%2.59odd justa
EV -5.33%
Vantagem -2.17%
Kelly -3.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.22%38.71%38.68%40.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.352.372.4546.51%42.47%42.19%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Midtjylland (Visitante)

Previsão 33.96%2.94odd justa
EV -0.169%
Vantagem -0.058%
Kelly -0.087%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.36%33.85%33.94%35.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.712.752.9440.00%36.90%36.36%34.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.40%3.65odd justa
EV +0.018%
Vantagem +0.005%
Kelly +0.007%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.27%27.44%27.38%28.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.383.403.6533.33%29.56%29.41%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.62%EV -2.21%E -0.766%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV +0.018%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 20:10
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.62%EV -2.21%E -0.766%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV +0.018%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 20:10
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -1.35%E -0.376%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:35
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:09
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:09
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:09
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:09
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:10
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:35
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:39
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:29
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 20:10
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 20:10
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 20:10
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 20:09
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 22:48
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 39.00%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.61%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.39%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 19:35
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 20:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 20:09
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 22:49
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.90%E -5.22%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 20:10
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:39
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 20:25
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 20:29
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 20:25
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 20:30
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 20:28
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -13.06%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 20:09
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:34
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:33
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 39.32%EV -6.49%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.36%EV -0.169%E -0.058%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.32%EV -7.93%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 19:45
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -13.41%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 20:34
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.10%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.81%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.09%EV -8.48%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 21:09
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%EV -8.48%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:04
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -1.53%E -0.527%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:34
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:34
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:35
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 20:39
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:36
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:40
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 20:35
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -14.99%E -6.81%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 20:09
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.10%EV -6.49%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 00:59
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 38.10%EV -6.49%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 00:55
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 20:39
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.42%E -3.55%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 20:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.42%E -3.55%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 20:39
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.58%EV -13.06%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.72%EV -15.11%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-23 20:35
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -16.92%E -7.87%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.23%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 19:35
Suprabets2.34I 42.74%NM 39.20%EV -9.58%E -4.09%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.41%EV -3.90%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.40%EV -11.49%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:41
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.76%EV -16.92%E -7.87%K -14.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.52%EV -13.41%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.71%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-24 01:30
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 38.79%EV -14.22%E -6.40%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.04%EV -14.09%E -5.57%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.17%EV -13.13%E -4.14%K -6.05%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 20:33
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -13.68%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -15.11%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-23 20:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 38.37%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62%11.4%2026-04-23 20:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 41.96%1.94I 51.55%NM 25.31%1.50I 66.67%NM 32.73%103.7%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 41.96%1.94I 51.55%NM 25.31%1.50I 66.67%NM 32.73%103.7%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 41.96%1.94I 51.55%NM 25.31%1.50I 66.67%NM 32.73%103.7%2026-04-23 22:09