L’École des cotesAGF Aarhus v FC Midtjylland
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AGF Aarhus (Local)
Prévision 38.64%2.59cote équitable
EV -5.33%
Avantage -2.17%
Kelly -3.67%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.22%38.71%38.68%40.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.352.372.4546.51%42.47%42.19%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Midtjylland (Visiteur)
Prévision 33.96%2.94cote équitable
EV -0.169%
Avantage -0.058%
Kelly -0.087%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.94
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.36%33.85%33.94%35.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.712.752.9440.00%36.90%36.36%34.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.40%3.65cote équitable
EV +0.018%
Avantage +0.005%
Kelly +0.007%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.27%27.44%27.38%28.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.403.6533.33%29.56%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.62%EV -2.21%E -0.766%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV +0.018%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.62%EV -2.21%E -0.766%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV +0.018%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -1.35%E -0.376%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 22:48 |
| GTbets | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.00%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.61%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.39%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.90%E -5.22%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 20:28 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -13.06%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 20:33 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.32%EV -6.49%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.36%EV -0.169%E -0.058%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.32%EV -7.93%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -13.41%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.10%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.81%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.09%EV -8.48%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%EV -8.48%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -1.53%E -0.527%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:36 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -14.99%E -6.81%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.10%EV -6.49%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-24 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.10%EV -6.49%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.42%E -3.55%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 20:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.42%E -3.55%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.58%EV -13.06%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.72%EV -15.11%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -16.92%E -7.87%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.23%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Suprabets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.20%EV -9.58%E -4.09%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.41%EV -3.90%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.40%EV -11.49%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 19:41 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.76%EV -16.92%E -7.87%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.52%EV -13.41%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.71%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 38.79%EV -14.22%E -6.40%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 34.04%EV -14.09%E -5.57%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.17%EV -13.13%E -4.14%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-23 20:33 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -13.68%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -15.11%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.37% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.01% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 41.96% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 25.31% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 32.73% | 103.7% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 41.96% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 25.31% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 32.73% | 103.7% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 41.96% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 25.31% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 32.73% | 103.7% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |