La escuela de los momiosEspañol
AGF Aarhus v FC Midtjylland
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AGF Aarhus (Local)
Predicción 38.64%2.59momio equitativo
EV -5.33%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -3.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.22%38.71%38.68%40.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.352.372.4546.51%42.47%42.19%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Midtjylland (Visitante)
Predicción 33.96%2.94momio equitativo
EV -0.169%
Ventaja -0.058%
Kelly -0.087%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.36%33.85%33.94%35.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.712.752.9440.00%36.90%36.36%34.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.40%3.65momio equitativo
EV +0.018%
Ventaja +0.005%
Kelly +0.007%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.27%27.44%27.38%28.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.6533.33%29.56%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.62%EV -2.21%E -0.766%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV +0.018%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.62%EV -2.21%E -0.766%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV +0.018%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -1.35%E -0.376%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -2.72%E -0.767%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.35%E -4.46%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 22:48 |
| GTbets | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.00%EV -6.10%E -2.51%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.61%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.39%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.90%E -5.22%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 20:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 20:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 20:28 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -13.06%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 20:33 |
| Pinnacle | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.32%EV -6.49%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.36%EV -0.169%E -0.058%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.32%EV -7.93%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -13.41%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.10%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.81%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.09%EV -8.48%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%EV -8.48%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -1.53%E -0.527%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -5.33%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -4.24%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.26%E -3.02%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:36 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -14.99%E -6.81%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -10.70%E -4.07%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.10%EV -6.49%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-24 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.10%EV -6.49%E -2.68%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.03%E -3.38%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.42%E -3.55%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 20:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -8.42%E -3.55%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.58%EV -13.06%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.72%EV -15.11%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -16.92%E -7.87%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.23%EV -11.71%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Suprabets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.20%EV -9.58%E -4.09%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.41%EV -3.90%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.40%EV -11.49%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 19:41 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.76%EV -16.92%E -7.87%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.52%EV -13.41%E -5.26%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.71%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 38.79%EV -14.22%E -6.40%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 34.04%EV -14.09%E -5.57%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.17%EV -13.13%E -4.14%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-23 20:33 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -13.68%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 19:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.12%E -4.84%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -15.11%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.37% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.01% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.62% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 41.96% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 25.31% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 32.73% | 103.7% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 41.96% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 25.31% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 32.73% | 103.7% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 41.96% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 25.31% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 32.73% | 103.7% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |