Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AGF Aarhus v Brondby IF

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AGF Aarhus (Local)

Prediction 54.72%1.83fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.07%54.64%54.62%55.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.701.701.7965.79%58.93%58.82%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brondby IF (Visit)

Prediction 20.44%4.89fair odd
EV +2.20%
Edge +0.440%
Kelly +0.551%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.33%20.42%20.60%21.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.464.405.0025.00%22.41%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.84%4.03fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -0.797%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%24.94%24.78%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.683.703.9030.77%27.16%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AGF Aarhus (Local): 54.72%; Brondby IF (Visit): 20.44%; Draw: 24.84%. For Brondby IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.89. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.88%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV +2.20%E +0.440%K +0.551%G +0.012%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -3.11%E -0.797%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.88%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV +2.20%E +0.440%K +0.551%G +0.012%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -3.11%E -0.797%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.19%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.59%EV +0.771%E +0.156%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -4.85%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.77%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -0.864%E -0.178%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 16:54
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.77%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -0.864%E -0.178%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 16:54
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.44%EV -7.53%E -4.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.64%EV -2.50%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.92%EV -6.59%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 06:25
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.28%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -2.91%E -0.612%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -4.35%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 16:54
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -2.91%E -0.612%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:44
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -7.53%E -4.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 16:45
Suprabets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.46%EV -8.82%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:33
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -7.53%E -4.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.11%E -0.797%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:05
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:45
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:45
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.48%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.83%EV -7.00%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.69%EV -4.60%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -4.35%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -4.35%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 16:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 06:19
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:41
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:55
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.02%EV -9.17%E -5.53%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:54
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:54
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:55
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 16:45
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:49
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:49
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:50
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 16:44
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.80%E -3.33%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 16:54
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.79%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 16:54
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.62%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -12.11%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:54
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.62%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -12.11%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -12.11%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -13.13%E -3.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 16:54
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.07%EV -13.00%E -8.18%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.60%EV -13.13%E -3.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -9.17%E -5.53%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 06:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 16:54
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 16:45
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -11.36%E -7.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.36%EV -11.91%E -7.40%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.80%EV -12.30%E -3.48%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -11.36%E -7.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -19.26%E -5.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-22 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 54.81%EV -16.83%E -11.07%K -32.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.32%EV -16.19%E -3.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.87%EV -16.77%E -5.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-22 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.09%EV -11.36%E -7.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -18.24%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-22 06:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-03-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-03-22 16:55
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.2%2026-03-22 16:55