L’École des cotes

AGF Aarhus v Brondby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AGF Aarhus (Local)

Prévision 54.72%1.83cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -2.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.07%54.64%54.62%55.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.701.701.7965.79%58.93%58.82%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Brondby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.44%4.89cote équitable
EV +2.20%
Avantage +0.440%
Kelly +0.551%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.33%20.42%20.60%21.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.464.405.0025.00%22.41%22.73%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.84%4.03cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -0.797%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.84%24.94%24.78%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.683.703.9030.77%27.16%27.03%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.88%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV +2.20%E +0.440%K +0.551%G +0.012%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -3.11%E -0.797%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 16:55
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.88%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV +2.20%E +0.440%K +0.551%G +0.012%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV -3.11%E -0.797%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 16:55
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.19%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.59%EV +0.771%E +0.156%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV -4.85%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 16:55
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.77%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -0.864%E -0.178%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 16:54
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.77%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.42%EV -0.864%E -0.178%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 16:54
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 55.44%EV -7.53%E -4.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.64%EV -2.50%E -0.524%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.92%EV -6.59%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 06:25
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.28%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -2.91%E -0.612%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -4.35%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 16:54
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -2.91%E -0.612%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:35
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.70%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:44
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -7.53%E -4.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 16:45
Suprabets1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.46%EV -8.82%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:33
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -7.53%E -4.46%K -10.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 16:54
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.11%E -0.797%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:05
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:45
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:44
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:45
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 16:45
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.48%EV -4.79%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.83%EV -7.00%E -1.54%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.69%EV -4.60%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:54
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -4.35%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 16:54
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.35%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -4.35%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 16:54
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 06:19
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 16:41
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 16:55
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 16:55
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:55
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.02%EV -9.17%E -5.53%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-22 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:54
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:55
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:54
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:54
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:55
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 16:45
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:49
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:49
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:50
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.62%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 16:55
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 16:44
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.80%E -3.33%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 16:54
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.79%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -6.84%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 16:54
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.62%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -12.11%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:54
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 53.62%EV -5.89%E -3.42%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -12.11%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -6.44%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -12.11%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.08%E -2.18%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 16:54
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -13.13%E -3.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 16:54
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.07%EV -13.00%E -8.18%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.60%EV -13.13%E -3.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 16:34
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -9.17%E -5.53%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.59%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 06:20
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 16:54
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 16:45
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 16:45
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.05%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-22 16:45
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.47%EV -11.36%E -7.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -10.56%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 12:45
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.36%EV -11.91%E -7.40%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.80%EV -12.30%E -3.48%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -11.36%E -7.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -19.26%E -5.93%K -8.56%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-22 16:45
PMU (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 54.81%EV -16.83%E -11.07%K -32.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.32%EV -16.19%E -3.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.87%EV -16.77%E -5.01%K -7.14%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-22 16:45
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.09%EV -11.36%E -7.01%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -18.24%E -4.56%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -9.32%E -2.55%K -3.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-22 06:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-03-22 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-03-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.30%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-03-22 16:55
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.27%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.2%2026-03-22 16:55