La scuola delle quote

Vasco da Gama v Olimpia Asunción

Inizio: 2026-04-30 22:00 UTC

Finale: Vasco da Gama 3–0 Olimpia Asunción

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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25 bookmaker (4 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vasco da Gama (Casa)

Previsione 55.60%1.80quota equa
EV -5.48%
Vantaggio -3.22%
Kelly -7.83%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.70%55.98%55.60%58.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.641.631.7064.10%60.96%61.35%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Olimpia Asunción (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.15%5.22quota equa
EV +11.09%
Vantaggio +1.91%
Kelly +2.31%
Crescita +0.256%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.67%18.82%19.15%20.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.205.034.925.8023.81%19.88%20.33%17.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.24%3.96quota equa
EV -0.283%
Vantaggio -0.072%
Kelly -0.096%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.06%25.20%25.24%26.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.613.603.9530.30%27.72%27.78%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +11.09%E +1.91%K +2.31%G +0.256%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 15:35
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 57.75%EV -9.37%E -5.75%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +7.26%E +1.30%K +1.58%G +0.115%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:34
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.75%EV -9.37%E -5.75%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +7.26%E +1.30%K +1.58%G +0.115%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:34
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.75%EV -9.37%E -5.75%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +7.26%E +1.30%K +1.58%G +0.115%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:34
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.75%EV -9.37%E -5.75%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +7.26%E +1.30%K +1.58%G +0.115%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:34
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -9.93%E -6.13%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV +5.35%E +0.972%K +1.19%G +0.064%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -0.283%E -0.072%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 23:19
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -12.71%E -8.09%K -22.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV +3.43%E +0.636%K +0.780%G +0.027%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 15:34
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -12.71%E -8.09%K -22.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV +3.43%E +0.636%K +0.780%G +0.027%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 15:34
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -13.26%E -8.50%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV +3.43%E +0.636%K +0.780%G +0.027%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -13.26%E -8.50%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV +3.43%E +0.636%K +0.780%G +0.027%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 15:34
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -8.26%E -5.01%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -5.19%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.38%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 16:00
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 55.84%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 18.95%EV -5.76%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 21:40
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -6.59%E -3.92%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 18.94%EV -5.76%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.60%EV -8.11%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 21:35
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -6.59%E -3.92%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -8.06%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 04:13
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.06%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 21:35
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.06%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 21:34
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.06%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 21:35
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.06%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 21:34
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.93%E -6.13%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.02%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-21 15:49
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -10.48%E -6.51%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -9.02%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 15:49
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -6.03%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.97%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 10:59
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.89%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 22:09
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -8.26%E -5.01%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -17.06%E -3.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-21 21:34
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 53.93%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.93%EV -17.06%E -3.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -16.69%E -5.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-21 15:50
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.70%EV -9.93%E -6.13%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -19.55%E -4.66%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -14.17%E -4.17%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-21 22:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 53.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.66%16.4%2026-04-21 22:50