L’École des cotesFrançais
Vasco da Gama v Olimpia Asunción
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vasco da Gama (Local)
Prévision 55.60%1.80cote équitable
EV -5.48%
Avantage -3.22%
Kelly -7.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.70%55.98%55.60%58.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.641.631.7064.10%60.96%61.35%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Olimpia Asunción (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.15%5.22cote équitable
EV +11.09%
Avantage +1.91%
Kelly +2.31%
Croissance +0.256%
avec la cote maximale 5.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.67%18.82%19.15%20.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.205.034.925.8023.81%19.88%20.33%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.24%3.96cote équitable
EV -0.283%
Avantage -0.072%
Kelly -0.096%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.06%25.20%25.24%26.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.613.603.9530.30%27.72%27.78%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.89%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +11.09%E +1.91%K +2.31%G +0.256% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 15:35 |
| Casumo | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.75%EV -9.37%E -5.75%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +7.26%E +1.30%K +1.58%G +0.115% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.75%EV -9.37%E -5.75%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +7.26%E +1.30%K +1.58%G +0.115% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.75%EV -9.37%E -5.75%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +7.26%E +1.30%K +1.58%G +0.115% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.75%EV -9.37%E -5.75%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV +7.26%E +1.30%K +1.58%G +0.115% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -9.93%E -6.13%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.28%EV +5.35%E +0.972%K +1.19%G +0.064% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.06%EV -0.283%E -0.072%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-20 23:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -12.71%E -8.09%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV +3.43%E +0.636%K +0.780%G +0.027% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -12.71%E -8.09%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV +3.43%E +0.636%K +0.780%G +0.027% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -13.26%E -8.50%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV +3.43%E +0.636%K +0.780%G +0.027% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -13.26%E -8.50%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV +3.43%E +0.636%K +0.780%G +0.027% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -8.26%E -5.01%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.54%EV -5.19%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.38%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.84%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 18.95%EV -5.76%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 21:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -6.59%E -3.92%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 18.94%EV -5.76%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.60%EV -8.11%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 21:35 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -6.59%E -3.92%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -8.06%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 04:13 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.06%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.06%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.06%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.48%E -3.22%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -8.06%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 21:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.93%E -6.13%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.02%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-21 15:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -10.48%E -6.51%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -9.02%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 15:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -6.03%E -3.57%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -9.97%E -2.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 10:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.89%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -8.26%E -5.01%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -17.06%E -3.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-21 21:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.93%EV -11.04%E -6.90%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.93%EV -17.06%E -3.94%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -16.69%E -5.06%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-21 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.70%EV -9.93%E -6.13%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -19.55%E -4.66%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -14.17%E -4.17%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-21 22:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.66% | 16.4% | 2026-04-21 22:50 |