Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vasco da Gama v Olimpia Asunción

2026-08-12 20:00 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

60%

17%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vasco da Gama (Local)

Prediction 60.06%1.67fair odd

EV -4.51%

Edge -2.83%

Kelly -7.64%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.20%60.06%59.86%62.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.441.521.531.5969.44%65.76%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Olimpia Asunción (Visit)

Prediction 16.58%6.03fair odd

EV +5.46%

Edge +0.859%

Kelly +1.02%

Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 6.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.30%16.58%16.65%18.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.755.465.506.3621.05%18.31%18.18%15.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.36%4.28fair odd

EV +1.85%

Edge +0.424%

Kelly +0.550%

Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 4.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.20%23.36%23.48%24.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.553.903.904.3628.17%25.62%25.64%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.58I 63.29%NM 62.08%EV -5.11%E -3.23%K -8.81%G +0.000%	6.36I 15.72%NM 15.42%EV +5.46%E +0.859%K +1.02%G +0.056%	4.36I 22.94%NM 22.50%EV +1.85%E +0.424%K +0.550%G +0.010%	2.0%	2026-07-30 18:07
Pinnacle	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.13%EV -9.91%E -6.61%K -19.82%G +0.000%	6.09I 16.42%NM 15.30%EV +0.985%E +0.162%K +0.193%G +0.002%	4.13I 24.21%NM 22.57%EV -3.53%E -0.854%K -1.13%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-30 18:15
SportsBet	1.48I 67.57%NM 61.70%EV -11.11%E -7.51%K -23.15%G +0.000%	5.90I 16.95%NM 15.48%EV -2.17%E -0.367%K -0.442%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-07-30 17:25
888sport	1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.11%E -5.30%K -15.30%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.80%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.90%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-07-30 18:19
William Hill	1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.11%E -5.30%K -15.30%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.80%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.90%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-07-30 18:20
Mr Green (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.11%E -5.30%K -15.30%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.80%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.90%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-07-30 18:20
888sport (SE)	1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -8.11%E -5.30%K -15.30%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -8.80%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -8.90%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-07-30 18:19
Paddy Power	1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -13.52%E -9.39%K -30.72%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -8.80%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -6.56%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%	12.6%	2026-07-30 17:30
Codere (IT)	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -4.51%E -2.83%K -7.64%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV -13.77%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.07%E -2.61%K -3.53%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-30 17:39
LeoVegas	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -6.91%E -4.46%K -12.56%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -13.77%E -2.65%K -3.28%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -8.90%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-30 17:20
Coral	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -6.91%E -4.46%K -12.56%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -17.09%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -12.40%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-07-30 17:24
Sky Bet	1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -13.52%E -9.39%K -30.72%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -17.09%E -3.42%K -4.27%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -15.91%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000%	17.2%	2026-07-30 17:25
Unibet (FR)	1.52I 65.79%NM 57.20%EV -8.71%E -5.73%K -16.75%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 18.30%EV -21.24%E -4.47%K -5.66%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -17.07%E -4.81%K -6.70%G +0.000%	15.0%	2026-07-30 17:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.