Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Vasco da Gama v Olimpia Asunción

Inizio: 2026-08-13 22:00 UTC

Finale: Vasco da Gama 0–0 Olimpia Asunción

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Vasco da Gama (Casa)

Previsione 53.93%1.85quota equa
EV -1.84%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -2.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.15%53.99%53.78%55.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.631.721.731.8261.35%58.00%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Olimpia Asunción (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.18%5.50quota equa
EV -0.011%
Vantaggio -0.002%
Kelly -0.002%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.04%18.08%18.34%19.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.504.975.005.5022.22%20.11%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.89%3.59quota equa
EV -2.40%
Vantaggio -0.684%
Kelly -0.958%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.04%27.93%27.87%28.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.42%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Vasco da Gama (Casa): 53.93%; Olimpia Asunción (Trasferta): 18.18%; Pareggio: 27.89%. Per Olimpia Asunción (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.501. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 5.500, con un valore atteso del -0.011%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.07%EV -1.84%E -1.01%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-13 21:54
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.22%EV -2.92%E -1.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.60%EV -6.37%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.18%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-13 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -4.54%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 21:54
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -4.54%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 21:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -4.54%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 21:54
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.71%EV -4.54%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-13 21:54
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.61%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.53%EV -1.47%E -0.270%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.86%EV -4.90%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 21:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.77%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 21:34
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.71%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -5.46%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 21:54
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.07%EV -4.56%E -0.868%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -2.40%E -0.684%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 21:54
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-13 17:29
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-13 21:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-13 21:53
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-13 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.00%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-13 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -10.01%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-13 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.77%E -4.55%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -0.011%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 21:34
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.31%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.04%EV -0.193%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 21:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.15%EV -8.31%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -12.16%E -3.86%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-13 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.15%EV -8.31%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -12.16%E -3.86%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-13 21:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.15%EV -8.31%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -12.16%E -3.86%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-13 21:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.15%EV -8.31%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -12.16%E -3.86%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-13 21:54
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.76%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -3.65%E -0.688%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 21:44
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -9.93%E -5.95%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-13 21:44
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -9.93%E -5.95%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-13 21:44
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.40%EV -9.93%E -5.95%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.55%E -4.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-13 21:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.75%EV -12.09%E -7.42%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -10.92%E -2.23%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -7.97%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-13 21:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-08-13 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.62%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-08-13 21:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.62%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-08-13 21:54
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.81%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-08-13 21:54