语言:简体中文
Vasco da Gama v Independiente Medellín
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Vasco da Gama (主队)
预测 63.85%1.57公平赔率
EV -1.03%
优势 -0.666%
Kelly -1.88%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.55
博彩公司预测分布
61.66%63.80%64.16%64.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.461.461.5571.43%68.39%68.49%64.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Independiente Medellín (客队)
预测 13.82%7.23公平赔率
EV +3.67%
优势 +0.489%
Kelly +0.564%
增长率 +0.021%
假设最高赔率为 7.50
博彩公司预测分布
12.77%13.86%13.57%16.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.326.107.5018.18%15.82%16.39%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.33%4.48公平赔率
EV +0.696%
优势 +0.154%
Kelly +0.198%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 4.51
博彩公司预测分布
21.03%22.34%22.27%22.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.164.134.5125.64%24.05%24.24%22.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Vasco da Gama (主队)：63.85%；Independiente Medellín (客队)：13.82%；平局：22.33%。 对于“Independiente Medellín (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.23。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.50，对应+3.67%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.70%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.77%EV +3.67%E +0.489%K +0.564%G +0.021% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.53%EV -5.11%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.36%EV -6.14%E -4.18%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.33%EV -1.86%E -0.262%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.31%EV -5.33%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -3.24%E -0.463%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -3.99%E -0.929%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.55%EV -9.33%E -6.57%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -3.24%E -0.463%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -8.46%E -2.06%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -10.61%E -7.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -3.24%E -0.463%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -4.22%E -2.82%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.24%EV -7.39%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -3.99%E -0.929%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.06%E -5.59%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-29 21:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.52%EV -10.61%E -7.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.68%EV -10.15%E -1.56%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -12.92%E -3.31%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.15%EV -5.50%E -3.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -11.54%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.23%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.29%EV -6.78%E -4.64%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -11.54%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -7.34%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-29 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.33%EV -1.03%E -0.666%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV -13.61%E -2.18%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV -2.88%E -0.661%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -4.22%E -2.82%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -15.68%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -5.11%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -4.22%E -2.82%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -15.68%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -5.11%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -4.22%E -2.82%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -15.68%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -5.11%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -4.22%E -2.82%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.38%EV -15.68%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%EV -5.11%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -10.61%E -7.58%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -15.68%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -8.46%E -2.06%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-29 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.22%EV -4.22%E -2.82%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.75%EV -16.79%E -2.79%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.03%EV +0.696%E +0.154%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -6.14%E -4.18%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -17.07%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -1.76%E -0.400%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 21:52 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -6.78%E -4.64%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -17.07%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.46%E -2.06%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.52%EV -6.78%E -4.64%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -17.07%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -8.46%E -2.06%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -7.42%E -5.12%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -17.07%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.46%E -2.06%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.06%E -5.59%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.07%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.06%E -5.59%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.07%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.06%E -5.59%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.07%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.06%E -5.59%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.07%E -2.84%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -8.06%E -5.59%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -23.98%E -4.36%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.69%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.40% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.3% | 2026-07-29 21:55 |