La scuola delle quote

Vasco da Gama v Independiente Medellín

2026-07-29 22:00 UTC — Copa Sudamericana

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26 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vasco da Gama (Casa)

Previsione 55.81%1.79quota equa
EV -2.33%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -3.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.34%55.73%55.88%57.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.651.651.7563.29%60.56%60.42%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente Medellín (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.27%5.19quota equa
EV +6.01%
Vantaggio +1.09%
Kelly +1.33%
Crescita +0.080%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.38%19.34%19.21%20.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.894.785.5023.09%20.44%20.94%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.91%4.01quota equa
EV -1.35%
Vantaggio -0.341%
Kelly -0.456%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.01%24.94%24.92%25.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.673.653.9629.41%27.25%27.40%25.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +6.01%E +1.09%K +1.33%G +0.080%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%EV -6.58%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-24 15:15
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 56.90%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV +4.08%E +0.755%K +0.927%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 15:15
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.90%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV +4.08%E +0.755%K +0.927%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.90%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV +4.08%E +0.755%K +0.927%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 15:15
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.90%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV +4.08%E +0.755%K +0.927%G +0.038%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -9.07%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 15:15
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV +0.223%E +0.043%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV +0.223%E +0.043%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV +0.223%E +0.043%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.56%E -3.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 15:15
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 56.06%EV -2.33%E -1.33%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 19.16%EV -1.32%E -0.258%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.78%EV -1.35%E -0.341%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 09:10
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.05%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.87%EV -2.67%E -0.528%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.08%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 14:04
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 56.10%EV -7.35%E -4.43%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -5.56%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.90%EV -6.83%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 03:20
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.24%EV -8.46%E -5.16%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -5.56%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 09:05
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -7.91%E -4.79%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.49%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 20:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -9.58%E -5.91%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -8.45%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 09:04
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -9.41%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -2.84%E -0.729%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 16:45
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.41%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 09:12
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -9.41%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 21:25
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -7.35%E -4.43%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -9.41%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.33%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 16:45
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.34%E -2.47%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 02:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.34%E -2.47%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 02:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.34%E -2.47%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 02:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.34%E -2.47%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 02:09
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.79%E -4.07%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -11.34%E -2.47%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 09:04
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -10.14%E -6.30%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -13.27%E -2.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 16:44
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -11.81%E -7.48%K -20.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -16.16%E -3.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-24 16:45
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 54.34%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.08%EV -16.54%E -3.82%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -15.30%E -4.50%K -6.37%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-26 09:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%8.3%2026-07-25 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%8.3%2026-07-25 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.97%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%8.3%2026-07-25 13:35
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 48.94%2.76I 36.23%NM 28.73%3.55I 28.17%NM 22.33%26.1%2026-07-26 08:05