L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Vasco da Gama v Audax Italiano
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Vasco da Gama (Local)
Prévision 66.93%1.49cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -4.97%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.83%66.85%66.93%67.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.391.401.4675.19%71.88%71.43%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Audax Italiano (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.24%8.17cote équitable
EV +0.355%
Avantage +0.043%
Kelly +0.049%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 8.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.60%12.32%12.24%14.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.157.008.2016.67%13.99%14.29%12.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.83%4.80cote équitable
EV +2.09%
Avantage +0.426%
Kelly +0.535%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 4.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.55%20.83%20.83%21.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.154.504.504.9024.10%22.22%22.22%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -2.95%E -2.04%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV -8.21%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +2.09%E +0.426%K +0.535%G +0.011% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.21%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.26%EV -2.08%E -0.443%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| Unibet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.21%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.26%EV -2.08%E -0.443%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Casumo | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.21%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.26%EV -2.08%E -0.443%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -8.21%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.26%EV -2.08%E -0.443%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.20%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -8.21%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -2.08%E -0.443%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 23:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.26%EV -2.29%E -1.57%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.56I 13.23%NM 12.80%EV -7.48%E -0.989%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.94%EV -3.75%E -0.811%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.54%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 7.94I 12.59%NM 11.91%EV -2.83%E -0.356%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.16%E -0.905%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| Bovada | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.16%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -14.33%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.16%E -0.905%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 23:43 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -7.64%E -5.54%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -14.33%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -4.16%E -0.905%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -10.99%E -8.26%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -14.33%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -4.16%E -0.905%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.98%E -6.60%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -14.33%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.25%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.98%E -6.60%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -14.33%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.25%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-14 23:38 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.98%E -6.60%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -14.33%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.25%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -10.99%E -8.26%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -14.33%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -6.25%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-14 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.01%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.60%EV +0.355%E +0.043%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -7.29%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 23:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.66%EV -6.97%E -5.01%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.52%EV -9.44%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -7.29%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -14.33%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.79%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -14.33%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.79%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -14.33%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.79%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -14.33%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.79%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.15%EV -10.99%E -8.26%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -20.45%E -3.15%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.32%EV -9.79%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -8.98%E -6.60%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -14.33%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -12.50%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -26.57%E -4.43%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.50%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-14 23:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.83%EV -10.32%E -7.70%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.24%EV -25.35%E -4.16%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.93%EV -13.54%E -3.26%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-14 23:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.85% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.85% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.85% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.74% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.99% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27% | 1.7% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |