The School of OddsUCV FC v Santos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
Head to Head
UCV FC (Local)
Prediction 22.33%4.48fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.501%
Kelly -0.649%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.40%22.35%22.34%24.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.754.134.204.3827%24%24%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Santos (Visit)
Prediction 49.65%2.01fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.854%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.63%49.67%50.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.771.861.871.9856%54%53%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 28.02%3.57fair odd
EV -0.534%
Edge -0.150%
Kelly -0.209%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.99%28.01%27.99%28.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.353.5532%30%30%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.37%EV -2.19%E -0.501%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.48%EV -1.69%E -0.854%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.15%EV -2.49%E -0.717%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-21 23:25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.03%EV -3.76%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.26%EV -5.86%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%EV -3.98%E -0.926%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.19%EV -4.17%E -2.16%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -0.534%E -0.150%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-21 23:20 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -3.98%E -0.926%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.51%EV -4.67%E -2.43%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-21 04:30 |
| LeoVegas | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.98%E -0.926%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -5.66%E -2.98%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 23:20 |
| SportsBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -3.98%E -0.926%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.29%EV -9.14%E -4.99%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| DraftKings | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 18:30 |
| Unibet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.15%E -3.82%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.93%E -0.553%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.15%E -3.82%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.93%E -0.553%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Casumo | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -7.15%E -3.82%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -1.93%E -0.553%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.32%EV -7.15%E -3.82%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.34%E -0.967%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-21 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -6.21%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -10.63%E -5.90%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| NordicBet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.77%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| Bovada | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.45%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 14:42 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -8.45%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.81%EV -12.12%E -6.85%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -7.54%E -2.28%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 23:05 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.15%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-21 14:20 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.15%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-21 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.15%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-21 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.15%E -4.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.94%E -2.75%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-21 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -10.63%E -5.90%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -10.63%E -5.90%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -10.63%E -5.90%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.14%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Sky Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -10.68%E -2.67%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.63%E -5.90%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -13.14%E -4.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-21 23:15 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -12.91%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -10.63%E -5.90%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -10.34%E -3.23%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-21 16:59 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -16.26%E -4.34%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.66%E -2.98%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -4.74%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-20 17:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.61% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06% | 0.4% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.41% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.41% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.44% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.11% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-07-21 23:35 |