The School of OddsUCV FC v Santos
Head to Head
Option 1: UCV FC (Local)
Odds
3.4528.99%Min
4.0124.92%Mean
3.9225.48%Median
4.7521.05%Max
Consensus probabilities
19.82%5.045Min
24.93%4.011Max
22.27%4.490Mean
22.27%4.490Median
22.27%4.490IQM
22.02%4.540Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.75 under the IQM model: 22.27%
EV +5.80%Edge +1.22%Kelly +1.55%Growth +0.090%
Option 2: Santos (Visit)
Odds
1.6261.73%Min
1.7158.65%Mean
1.7058.82%Median
1.7856.18%Max
Consensus probabilities
51.21%1.953Min
56.04%1.784Max
54.07%1.850Mean
54.07%1.850Median
54.07%1.850IQM
54.27%1.843Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.78 under the IQM model: 54.07%
EV -3.76%Edge -2.11%Kelly -4.82%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.5028.57%Min
3.8026.28%Mean
3.8026.32%Median
4.0025.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.18%4.314Min
24.86%4.022Max
23.66%4.226Mean
23.66%4.226Median
23.66%4.226IQM
23.71%4.218Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.00 under the IQM model: 23.66%
EV -5.36%Edge -1.34%Kelly -1.79%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | UCV FC (Local) ▼ | Santos (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.82%EV +5.80% E +1.22% K +1.55% G +0.090% | 1.68I 59.52% NM 56.04%EV -9.17% E -5.46% K -13.48% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.14%EV -7.72% E -1.98% K -2.66% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73% NM 20.87%EV -2.00% E -0.454% K -0.587% G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88% NM 54.97%EV -9.71% E -5.81% K -14.49% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.16%EV -10.09% E -2.66% K -3.60% G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-03 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09% NM 20.99%EV -3.56% E -0.821% K -1.07% G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61% NM 55.09%EV -10.79% E -6.54% K -16.60% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.92%EV -10.09% E -2.66% K -3.60% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-03 14:10 |
| NordicBet | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.65%EV -5.34% E -1.26% K -1.64% G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14% NM 53.49%EV -7.01% E -4.07% K -9.73% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.86%EV -12.46% E -3.37% K -4.61% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 05:34 |
| Bovada | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.70%EV -12.02% E -3.04% K -4.07% G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50% NM 52.89%EV -4.30% E -2.43% K -5.59% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.41%EV -5.36% E -1.34% K -1.79% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| Sky Bet | 3.90I 25.64% NM 22.12%EV -13.13% E -3.37% K -4.53% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 53.24%EV -12.41% E -7.66% K -20.02% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 24.64%EV -17.19% E -4.91% K -6.88% G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-07-03 14:10 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.16%EV -14.25% E -3.70% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.15%EV -5.38% E -3.08% K -7.18% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.69%EV -2.99% E -0.730% K -0.965% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.16%EV -14.25% E -3.70% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.15%EV -5.38% E -3.08% K -7.18% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.69%EV -2.99% E -0.730% K -0.965% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Casumo | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.16%EV -14.25% E -3.70% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.15%EV -5.38% E -3.08% K -7.18% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.69%EV -2.99% E -0.730% K -0.965% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.16%EV -14.25% E -3.70% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.15%EV -5.38% E -3.08% K -7.18% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.69%EV -2.99% E -0.730% K -0.965% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.16%EV -14.25% E -3.70% K -5.00% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.15%EV -5.38% E -3.08% K -7.18% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.69%EV -2.99% E -0.730% K -0.965% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.73%EV -16.47% E -4.39% K -5.99% G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 52.09%EV -3.76% E -2.11% K -4.82% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.18%EV -5.36% E -1.34% K -1.79% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-03 17:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.36%EV -16.47% E -4.39% K -5.99% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 52.21%EV -5.38% E -3.08% K -7.18% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.43%EV -7.72% E -1.98% K -2.66% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-02 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.54%EV -17.59% E -4.75% K -6.51% G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80% NM 52.48%EV -6.47% E -3.74% K -8.86% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 22.98%EV -6.54% E -1.66% K -2.22% G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.54%EV -17.59% E -4.75% K -6.51% G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80% NM 52.48%EV -6.47% E -3.74% K -8.86% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 22.98%EV -6.54% E -1.66% K -2.22% G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.54%EV -17.59% E -4.75% K -6.51% G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80% NM 52.48%EV -6.47% E -3.74% K -8.86% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 22.98%EV -6.54% E -1.66% K -2.22% G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-30 14:49 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78% NM 24.89%EV -19.82% E -5.50% K -7.62% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 51.21%EV -5.38% E -3.08% K -7.18% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.90%EV -11.27% E -3.01% K -4.10% G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99% NM 24.93%EV -23.16% E -6.71% K -9.45% G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24% NM 51.82%EV -10.25% E -6.17% K -15.53% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 23.25%EV -12.46% E -3.37% K -4.61% G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-06-03 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth